Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Chargers v Los Angeles Rams

Kickoff: 2026-08-28 02:10 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Chargers 18–20 Los Angeles Rams

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Chargers (Local)

Prediction 60.67%1.65fair odd
EV +2.53%
Edge +1.50%
Kelly +3.67%
Growth +0.093%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.67%60.31%60.70%62.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.581.571.6964.94%63.34%63.69%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Rams (Visit)

Prediction 39.33%2.54fair odd
EV -0.888%
Edge -0.352%
Kelly -0.584%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.93%39.69%39.30%43.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.212.402.402.5245.25%41.71%41.67%39.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Chargers (Local): 60.67%; Los Angeles Rams (Visit): 39.33%. For Los Angeles Chargers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.65. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.69, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.53%.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV +2.53%E +1.50%K +3.67%G +0.093%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -13.08%E -5.92%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-28 02:02
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV +0.105%E +0.064%K +0.162%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -7.97%E -3.40%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-28 01:55
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.71%E -1.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -5.61%E -2.34%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-28 01:58
GTbets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.32%E -1.44%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.61%E -2.34%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-28 01:59
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -2.32%E -1.44%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -6.39%E -2.69%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-28 01:45
ReBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.93%E -1.83%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.57%E -3.22%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 19:55
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.53%E -2.22%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.64%E -1.49%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-28 02:05
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.53%E -2.22%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.64%E -1.49%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-28 01:38
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.53%E -2.22%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.61%E -2.34%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-27 19:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -3.53%E -2.22%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -6.39%E -2.69%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-28 01:49
SportsBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -3.53%E -2.22%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -7.18%E -3.04%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 01:45
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -4.14%E -2.62%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -4.03%E -1.65%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-28 02:05
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.14%E -2.62%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.61%E -2.34%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 01:40
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.14%E -2.62%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.61%E -2.34%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 01:45
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.75%E -3.02%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.64%E -1.49%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-27 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.75%E -3.02%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.64%E -1.49%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-27 18:40
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.75%E -3.02%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.64%E -1.49%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-27 18:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.75%E -3.02%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.61%E -2.34%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 02:05
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.75%E -3.02%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.51%E -5.11%K -9.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-27 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.35%E -3.43%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.64%E -1.49%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-27 20:00
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.35%E -3.43%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.64%E -1.49%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-27 20:00
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.35%E -3.43%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.64%E -1.49%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-27 20:01
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.35%E -3.43%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.64%E -1.49%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-27 20:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.35%E -3.43%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.64%E -1.49%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-27 20:00
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.35%E -3.43%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.57%E -3.22%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-28 01:45
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.96%E -3.85%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.57%E -3.22%K -5.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 01:59
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.96%E -3.85%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.57%E -3.22%K -5.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 02:05
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -6.57%E -4.27%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -0.888%E -0.352%K -0.584%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-28 02:05
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.57%E -4.27%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.61%E -2.34%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-28 02:05
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.57%E -4.27%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.61%E -2.34%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-28 02:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.57%E -4.27%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.57%E -3.22%K -5.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-28 01:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66%2.47I 40.49%NM 40.34%0.4%2026-08-28 02:05
ProphetX1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%0.9%2026-08-28 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%2.5%2026-08-28 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%2.5%2026-08-28 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%2.5%2026-08-28 02:05
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%2.7%2026-08-28 01:40