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Las Vegas Raiders v San Francisco 49ers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Las Vegas Raiders (Local)
Prediction 60.37%1.66fair odd
EV -2.81%
Edge -1.74%
Kelly -4.60%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.90%60.49%60.45%62.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.571.571.6165.36%63.68%63.69%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
San Francisco 49ers (Visit)
Prediction 39.63%2.52fair odd
EV +3.04%
Edge +1.17%
Kelly +1.90%
Growth +0.058%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.20%39.51%39.55%41.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.412.402.6044.44%41.44%41.67%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Las Vegas Raiders (Local): 60.37%; San Francisco 49ers (Visit): 39.63%. For San Francisco 49ers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.52. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.04%.
Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -5.82%E -3.73%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV +3.04%E +1.17%K +1.90%G +0.058% | 2.6% | 2026-08-27 23:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -7.03%E -4.57%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV +3.04%E +1.17%K +1.90%G +0.058% | 3.4% | 2026-08-27 23:53 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -5.82%E -3.73%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -0.130%E -0.052%K -0.086%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-28 00:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -6.43%E -4.15%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV -0.130%E -0.052%K -0.086%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-27 23:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.82%E -3.73%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.923%E -0.369%K -0.615%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-27 23:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.03%E -4.57%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -0.923%E -0.369%K -0.615%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-27 23:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.64%E -4.99%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.923%E -0.369%K -0.615%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-27 23:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.64%E -4.99%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.923%E -0.369%K -0.615%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-27 23:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.01%E -2.52%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.90%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-28 00:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.01%E -2.52%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.70%E -1.52%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-28 00:01 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -3.41%E -2.13%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -4.09%E -1.69%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-28 00:01 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.22%E -3.33%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.09%E -1.69%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-27 23:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.62%E -2.92%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.89%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.22%E -3.33%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.89%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-27 17:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.22%E -3.33%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.89%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-27 17:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.22%E -3.33%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.89%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-27 17:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.22%E -3.33%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.89%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-27 17:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.22%E -3.33%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.89%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-27 17:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.22%E -3.33%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.89%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 00:01 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.01%E -2.52%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.68%E -2.39%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-27 18:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -2.81%E -1.74%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -6.47%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-28 00:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.81%E -1.74%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.87%E -2.92%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-27 19:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.41%E -2.13%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.87%E -2.92%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 22:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.41%E -2.13%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.87%E -2.92%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 23:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.22%E -3.33%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.87%E -2.92%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-27 22:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.82%E -3.73%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.87%E -2.92%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-27 23:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.82%E -3.73%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.87%E -2.92%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-27 23:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.43%E -4.15%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.87%E -2.92%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-27 23:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.22%E -3.33%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-27 23:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.22%E -3.33%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-27 23:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.22%E -3.33%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.83%E -4.81%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-27 16:43 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 1.0% | 2026-08-28 00:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 1.0% | 2026-08-27 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95% | 1.4% | 2026-08-28 00:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50% | 2.6% | 2026-08-28 00:01 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01% | 2.8% | 2026-08-27 23:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20% | 3.4% | 2026-08-28 00:01 |