Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Las Vegas Raiders v Arizona Cardinals

2026-08-14 00:00 UTC — NFL Preseason

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Las Vegas Raiders (Local)

Prediction 54.13%1.85fair odd
EV -2.57%
Edge -1.43%
Kelly -3.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.25%54.09%54.26%54.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.761.751.8057.80%56.78%57.14%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arizona Cardinals (Visit)

Prediction 45.87%2.18fair odd
EV -2.75%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -2.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.22%45.91%45.74%46.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.082.102.1250.00%48.02%47.62%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Las Vegas Raiders (Local): 54.13%; Arizona Cardinals (Visit): 45.87%. For Las Vegas Raiders (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.85. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.80, with an expected value of -2.57%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.57%E -1.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.96%E -2.91%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 19:25
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.57%E -1.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.96%E -2.91%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 16:55
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.20%E -2.37%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.67%E -1.75%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 12:19
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.20%E -2.37%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.67%E -1.75%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 15:25
GTbets🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.20%E -2.37%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.67%E -1.75%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 16:00
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.20%E -2.37%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.67%E -1.75%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 17:35
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.20%E -2.37%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.67%E -1.75%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 18:00
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.75%E -1.30%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 15:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.75%E -1.30%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 15:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.75%E -1.30%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 15:45
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.75%E -1.30%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 15:48
Bally Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.75%E -1.30%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 16:05
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.58%E -2.20%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 12:20
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -7.34%E -3.63%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 17:10
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -7.34%E -3.63%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 17:15
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.36%E -3.68%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.25%E -4.13%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-07 12:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 66.22%1.96I 51.02%NM 33.78%51.0%2026-08-07 17:00