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Las Vegas Raiders v Arizona Cardinals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Las Vegas Raiders (Local)
Prediction 59.56%1.68fair odd
EV -1.72%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -2.65%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.23%59.56%59.59%61.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.601.601.6566.67%62.49%62.31%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arizona Cardinals (Visit)
Prediction 40.44%2.47fair odd
EV -0.928%
Edge -0.379%
Kelly -0.640%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.46%40.44%40.41%41.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.362.382.4544.44%42.30%42.02%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Las Vegas Raiders (Local): 59.56%; Arizona Cardinals (Visit): 40.44%. For Arizona Cardinals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.47. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.45, with an expected value of -0.928%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -1.72%E -1.04%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -6.59%E -2.85%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-13 23:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.72%E -1.04%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-13 23:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.91%E -1.79%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 23:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.51%E -2.17%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.95%E -1.23%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-13 22:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.51%E -2.17%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.95%E -1.23%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-13 22:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.51%E -2.17%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.95%E -1.23%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-13 23:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.51%E -2.17%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.76%E -1.58%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-13 23:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.51%E -2.17%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.97%E -2.12%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 23:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.51%E -2.17%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.97%E -2.12%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 23:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.51%E -2.17%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.97%E -2.12%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 23:56 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.10%E -2.55%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.95%E -1.23%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-13 23:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.10%E -2.55%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.97%E -2.12%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-13 23:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.10%E -2.55%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.97%E -2.12%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-13 23:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.10%E -2.55%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.97%E -2.12%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-13 23:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.10%E -2.55%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.78%E -2.48%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 18:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.70%E -2.94%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.76%E -1.58%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-13 18:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.70%E -2.94%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.76%E -1.58%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-13 18:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.70%E -2.94%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.76%E -1.58%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-13 18:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.70%E -2.94%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.76%E -1.58%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-13 18:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.70%E -2.94%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.76%E -1.58%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-13 18:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.30%E -3.33%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-13 23:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -5.89%E -3.73%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -1.33%E -0.546%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 23:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.89%E -3.73%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.95%E -1.23%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 20:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.89%E -3.73%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.95%E -1.23%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 20:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -5.89%E -3.73%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -6.19%E -2.67%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-13 23:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -5.89%E -3.73%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -6.19%E -2.67%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-13 23:48 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.49%E -4.13%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -0.928%E -0.379%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-13 20:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.49%E -4.13%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.02%E -4.01%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-13 22:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.08%E -4.54%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -1.74%E -0.715%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 23:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -10.66%E -7.10%K -21.31%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -2.95%E -1.23%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-13 19:03 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 40.34% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 00:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 0.6% | 2026-08-13 23:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 0.9% | 2026-08-13 23:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 0.9% | 2026-08-13 23:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 0.9% | 2026-08-13 23:59 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55% | 4.5% | 2026-08-13 23:59 |