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Kansas City Chiefs v Seattle Seahawks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kansas City Chiefs (Local)
Prediction 48.40%2.07fair odd
EV +1.65%
Edge +0.785%
Kelly +1.50%
Growth +0.025%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.88%48.47%48.40%51.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.961.952.1055.56%51.10%51.28%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Seattle Seahawks (Visit)
Prediction 51.60%1.94fair odd
EV -0.935%
Edge -0.487%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.52%51.53%51.60%55.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.841.831.9258.48%54.27%54.64%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas City Chiefs (Local): 48.40%; Seattle Seahawks (Visit): 51.60%. For Kansas City Chiefs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.07. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.65%.
Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV +1.65%E +0.785%K +1.50%G +0.025% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -11.77%E -6.88%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.772%E -0.377%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.13%E -3.96%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -1.26%E -0.616%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -6.10%E -3.35%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-28 23:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -1.26%E -0.616%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -7.13%E -3.96%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-28 23:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.19%E -1.60%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.58%E -3.05%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-28 23:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.19%E -1.60%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.58%E -3.05%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-28 23:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.19%E -1.60%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.58%E -3.05%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-29 00:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.19%E -1.60%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.58%E -3.05%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-28 23:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.19%E -1.60%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.10%E -3.35%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-28 23:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.19%E -1.60%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.13%E -3.96%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-28 23:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.19%E -1.60%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.67%E -4.90%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -3.19%E -1.60%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -10.22%E -5.88%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.16%E -2.10%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.58%E -3.05%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 23:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.16%E -2.10%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.58%E -3.05%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 23:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.13%E -2.62%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.55%E -2.46%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 23:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.61%E -2.88%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.55%E -2.46%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.61%E -2.88%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.55%E -2.46%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.61%E -2.88%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.13%E -3.96%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-28 23:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.10%E -3.14%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -6.10%E -3.35%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-28 23:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.10%E -3.14%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -6.10%E -3.35%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-28 23:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -6.58%E -3.41%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -6.61%E -3.65%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-28 23:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -7.06%E -3.68%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -0.935%E -0.487%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-28 22:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -7.06%E -3.68%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -0.935%E -0.487%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-28 22:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -7.06%E -3.68%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -0.935%E -0.487%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-28 22:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -7.06%E -3.68%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -0.935%E -0.487%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-28 22:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -7.06%E -3.68%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -0.935%E -0.487%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-28 22:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.55%E -3.95%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.45%E -0.760%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-28 12:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -9.48%E -5.07%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -1.97%E -1.04%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.45%E -5.65%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.46%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-27 18:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -11.42%E -6.24%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -1.45%E -0.760%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -12.87%E -7.15%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -1.45%E -0.760%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 0.6% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15% | 1.5% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15% | 1.5% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53% | 2.1% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66% | 2.4% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95% | 4.1% | 2026-08-28 23:59 |