Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas City Chiefs v Los Angeles Rams

2026-08-15 20:00 UTC — NFL Preseason

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas City Chiefs (Local)

Prediction 53.34%1.87fair odd
EV -3.45%
Edge -1.91%
Kelly -4.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.70%53.46%53.25%54.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.791.791.8157.14%56.00%55.87%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Rams (Visit)

Prediction 46.66%2.14fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -0.960%
Kelly -1.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.74%46.54%46.75%47.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.042.052.1051.28%49.00%48.78%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Kansas City Chiefs (Local): 53.34%; Los Angeles Rams (Visit): 46.66%. For Los Angeles Rams (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.14. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.10, with an expected value of -2.02%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.45%E -1.91%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-07 13:04
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 16:50
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 17:35
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 18:00
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 18:59
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.99%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.75%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 15:09
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.52%E -2.52%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.52%E -2.52%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 15:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.52%E -2.52%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 15:49
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.52%E -2.52%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 15:48
Bally Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.52%E -2.52%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 16:05
SportsBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.52%E -2.52%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.28%E -2.60%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 13:05
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.02%E -0.960%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 17:05
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.75%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 17:14
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.75%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 17:15
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.02%E -4.62%K -9.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 13:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.