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Kansas City Chiefs v Los Angeles Rams
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kansas City Chiefs (Local)
Prediction 53.81%1.86fair odd
EV -3.14%
Edge -1.74%
Kelly -3.92%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.70%53.88%53.83%54.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.761.771.8058.82%56.76%56.50%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Los Angeles Rams (Visit)
Prediction 46.19%2.17fair odd
EV -2.08%
Edge -0.981%
Kelly -1.86%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.22%46.12%46.17%47.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.062.052.1251.28%48.62%48.78%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas City Chiefs (Local): 53.81%; Los Angeles Rams (Visit): 46.19%. For Los Angeles Rams (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.17. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.12, with an expected value of -2.08%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.14%E -1.74%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.14%E -1.74%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 20:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.14%E -1.74%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 20:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.68%E -2.05%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.93%E -1.89%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 20:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.22%E -2.37%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-15 19:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -4.22%E -2.37%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -4.85%E -2.36%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.22%E -2.37%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 19:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.75%E -2.69%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.75%E -2.69%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.75%E -2.69%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 19:48 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.75%E -2.69%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.75%E -2.69%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.39%E -2.12%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.75%E -2.69%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.39%E -2.12%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.75%E -2.69%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -4.75%E -2.69%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.78%E -2.83%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 20:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -4.75%E -2.69%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.78%E -2.83%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 20:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.75%E -2.69%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 20:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.75%E -2.69%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 20:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.29%E -3.01%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.08%E -0.981%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-15 20:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.29%E -3.01%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.08%E -0.981%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-15 20:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.29%E -3.01%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.08%E -0.981%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.29%E -3.01%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.39%E -2.12%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 20:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.83%E -3.33%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.08%E -0.981%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 18:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.83%E -3.33%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 20:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -5.83%E -3.33%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.70%E -3.32%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 19:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -5.83%E -3.33%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.70%E -3.32%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 19:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.83%E -3.33%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.93%E -5.09%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 20:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.37%E -3.66%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 19:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.37%E -3.66%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.91%E -3.99%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 19:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.91%E -3.99%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 19:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.41%EV -7.98%E -4.67%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.59%EV -9.47%E -4.83%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 20:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -8.52%E -5.01%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -6.70%E -3.32%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 19:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04% | 2.9% | 2026-08-15 20:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 20:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 20:04 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 20:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.64% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.36% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 20:02 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 35.56% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 64.44% | 53.7% | 2026-08-15 20:04 |