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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Indianapolis Colts v Detroit Lions

开赛时间： 2026-08-29 17:06 UTC

最终结果： Indianapolis Colts 16–25 Detroit Lions

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

31 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Indianapolis Colts (主队)

预测 55.75%1.79公平赔率
EV +0.359%
优势 +0.199%
Kelly +0.448%
增长率 +0.002%

假设最高赔率为 1.80

博彩公司预测分布
53.25%55.78%55.74%57.89%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.601.711.711.8062.50%58.47%58.48%55.56%最小值均值中位数最大值

Detroit Lions (客队)

预测 44.25%2.26公平赔率
EV -1.33%
优势 -0.598%
Kelly -1.08%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.23

博彩公司预测分布
42.11%44.22%44.26%46.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.052.162.152.2348.78%46.25%46.51%44.84%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Indianapolis Colts (主队)：55.75%；Detroit Lions (客队)：44.25%。 对于“Indianapolis Colts (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.79。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为1.80，对应+0.359%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (31 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV +0.359%E +0.199%K +0.448%G +0.002%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -9.30%E -4.54%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 16:43
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.43%E -1.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.09%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 16:45
DraftKings🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -2.43%E -1.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -7.53%E -3.60%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 16:55
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.99%E -1.72%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-29 16:55
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.99%E -1.72%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-29 16:55
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.99%E -1.72%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-29 16:50
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.99%E -1.72%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-29 16:40
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.99%E -1.72%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-29 16:35
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.99%E -1.72%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-29 16:45
Caesars🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -3.99%E -1.84%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-29 16:44
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 16:40
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 16:45
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.20%E -2.92%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 16:45
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.66%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 16:29
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.66%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 16:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.66%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 16:50
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.66%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.32%E -2.48%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -1.33%E -0.598%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-29 16:40
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -1.33%E -0.598%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-29 16:39
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -1.33%E -0.598%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-29 16:40
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -1.33%E -0.598%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-29 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -1.33%E -0.598%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-29 16:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.99%E -1.84%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 16:34
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.97%E -3.83%K -7.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 16:45
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.77%E -3.42%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -1.78%E -0.800%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-29 16:40
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -6.33%E -3.77%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -3.10%E -1.42%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 16:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.89%E -4.13%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.09%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 16:50
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.00%E -4.85%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 16:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.00%E -4.85%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 16:40
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -10.79%E -6.75%K -17.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 15:54
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-08-29 16:55
Novig◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-08-29 16:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-08-29 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-08-29 16:55
ProphetX◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%0.7%2026-08-29 16:55
Matchbook◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%2.6%2026-08-29 16:55