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Houston Texans v Las Vegas Raiders

2026-08-21 00:00 UTC — NFL Preseason

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Texans (Local)

Prediction 48.44%2.06fair odd
EV -4.09%
Edge -2.07%
Kelly -4.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.15%48.44%48.44%49.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.901.941.951.9852.63%51.62%51.28%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Las Vegas Raiders (Visit)

Prediction 51.56%1.94fair odd
EV -3.58%
Edge -1.91%
Kelly -4.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.40%51.56%51.56%51.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.841.851.8755.56%54.43%54.05%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Houston Texans (Local): 48.44%; Las Vegas Raiders (Visit): 51.56%. For Las Vegas Raiders (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.94. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.87, with an expected value of -3.58%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -4.09%E -2.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.09%E -2.20%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-17 05:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.06%E -2.58%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 06:19
ReBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.06%E -2.58%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -6.16%E -3.38%K -7.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 06:10
SportsBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.55%E -2.84%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.09%E -2.20%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 05:44
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.48%E -3.92%K -8.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.19%E -3.99%K -8.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-17 05:48
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -7.97%E -4.19%K -8.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -3.58%E -1.91%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-17 05:44
LeoVegas🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.97%E -4.19%K -8.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.19%E -3.99%K -8.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-17 06:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%7.6%2026-08-17 05:45

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