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Green Bay Packers v Arizona Cardinals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Green Bay Packers (Local)
Prediction 50.52%1.98fair odd
EV -1.48%
Edge -0.761%
Kelly -1.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.95%50.71%50.26%52.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.881.881.9555.56%53.24%53.19%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arizona Cardinals (Visit)
Prediction 49.48%2.02fair odd
EV -1.04%
Edge -0.521%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.78%49.29%49.74%51.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.921.922.0053.48%52.00%52.08%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Green Bay Packers (Local): 50.52%; Arizona Cardinals (Visit): 49.48%. For Arizona Cardinals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.02. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.00, with an expected value of -1.04%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.48%E -0.761%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.47%E -4.00%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 00:03 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -2.49%E -1.29%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -5.00%E -2.60%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-28 23:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.51%E -2.33%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-28 16:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.51%E -2.33%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-28 16:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.51%E -2.33%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-28 16:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.51%E -2.33%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-28 16:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.51%E -2.33%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-28 16:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-27 15:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 00:06 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.01%E -2.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.00%E -2.60%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 00:06 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.01%E -2.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.99%E -3.15%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 23:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.01%E -2.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.99%E -3.15%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 23:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -4.52%E -2.39%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.02%E -1.54%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-28 23:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.02%E -2.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.98%E -3.71%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-28 23:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.02%E -2.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.98%E -3.71%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-28 23:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.53%E -2.95%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.99%E -3.15%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-28 23:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.53%E -2.95%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.47%E -4.00%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.44%EV -6.03%E -3.24%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.56%EV -2.53%E -1.28%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-29 00:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -6.03%E -3.24%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -3.52%E -1.80%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 23:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.54%E -3.53%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.03%E -1.03%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.54%E -3.53%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.02%E -1.54%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.54%E -3.53%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.02%E -1.54%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.54%E -3.53%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.52%E -1.80%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.54%E -3.53%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.52%E -1.80%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -6.54%E -3.53%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.98%E -3.71%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-28 23:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -6.54%E -3.53%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.98%E -3.71%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-28 23:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.55%E -4.12%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.04%E -0.521%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.55%E -4.12%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.06%E -5.03%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73% | 1.6% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.39% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.61% | 2.8% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97% | 3.1% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39% | 3.4% | 2026-08-28 23:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52% | 3.6% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52% | 3.6% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |