預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Detroit Lions v Washington Commanders

開賽時間: 2026-08-22 16:10 UTC

最終賽果: Detroit Lions 17–13 Washington Commanders

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

34 家博彩公司 (10 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Detroit Lions (主隊)

預測 47.61%2.10公平賠率
EV -0.978%
優勢 -0.470%
Kelly -0.906%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.08

博彩公司預測分布
46.11%48.31%46.92%55.27%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.741.982.002.0857.47%50.63%50.00%48.08%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Washington Commanders (客隊)

預測 52.39%1.91公平賠率
EV +12.65%
優勢 +5.88%
Kelly +11.00%
成長率 +1.39%

假設最高賠率為 2.15

博彩公司預測分布
44.73%51.69%53.08%53.89%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.761.851.802.1556.82%54.17%55.56%46.51%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Detroit Lions (主隊):47.61%;Washington Commanders (客隊):52.39%。 對於「Washington Commanders (客隊)」,該估計相當於1.91的公平十進位賠率。 當時有6家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為2.15,對應+12.65%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (34 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼利潤率更新時間
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -17.16%E -9.86%K -23.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +12.65%E +5.88%K +11.00%G +1.39%4.0%2026-08-20 16:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -17.16%E -9.86%K -23.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +12.65%E +5.88%K +11.00%G +1.39%4.0%2026-08-20 16:24
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -8.12%E -4.21%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV +0.595%E +0.310%K +0.647%G +0.004%3.9%2026-08-22 15:20
GTbets🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -9.07%E -4.75%K -9.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +0.071%E +0.037%K +0.078%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 15:19
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -9.07%E -4.75%K -9.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +0.071%E +0.037%K +0.078%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 15:18
SportsBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -10.02%E -5.30%K -11.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV +0.071%E +0.037%K +0.078%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 15:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -10.98%E -5.87%K -12.62%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -0.453%E -0.238%K -0.503%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 15:19
DraftKings🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -8.12%E -4.21%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -0.977%E -0.517%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 15:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -8.60%E -4.48%K -9.34%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -0.977%E -0.517%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 15:20
ReBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -8.12%E -4.21%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.50%E -0.798%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 15:19
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.17%E -3.68%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.02%E -1.08%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 15:19
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -8.12%E -4.21%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -2.02%E -1.08%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 15:19
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.17%E -3.68%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.07%E -1.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 15:17
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -11.93%E -6.45%K -14.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -3.07%E -1.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-22 15:20
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.41%E -1.17%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 14:04
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.41%E -1.17%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 15:09
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.41%E -1.17%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 14:29
BetAnything🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.41%E -1.17%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 14:24
Everygame🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.41%E -1.17%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 14:16
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.83%E -1.90%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 14:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.83%E -1.90%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 13:59
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.83%E -1.90%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 13:59
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.17%E -3.68%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 15:19
FanDuel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -0.978%E -0.470%K -0.906%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -6.22%E -3.47%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-22 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.41%E -1.17%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.22%E -3.47%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-22 15:19
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.41%E -1.17%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.22%E -3.47%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-22 15:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.41%E -1.17%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.22%E -3.47%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-22 15:20
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.41%E -1.17%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.22%E -3.47%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-22 15:19
Bally Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.41%E -1.17%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.22%E -3.47%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-22 15:19
Caesars🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -0.978%E -0.470%K -0.906%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -6.74%E -3.79%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 14:28
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -4.79%E -2.39%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.74%E -3.79%K -8.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 15:20
Betsson🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -4.79%E -2.39%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.74%E -3.79%K -8.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 15:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.41%E -1.17%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.26%E -4.10%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 14:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.93%EV -5.26%E -2.64%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.07%EV -7.79%E -4.42%K -10.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 15:19
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Novig◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-08-22 15:20
ProphetX◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13%0.8%2026-08-22 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%1.3%2026-08-22 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 49.87%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.13%1.8%2026-08-22 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62%1.8%2026-08-22 15:20
Matchbook◎1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%4.2%2026-08-22 15:20