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Denver Broncos v Minnesota Vikings
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Denver Broncos (Local)
Prediction 64.89%1.54fair odd
EV -2.67%
Edge -1.78%
Kelly -5.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.66%64.91%65.01%66.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.471.461.5069.44%68.18%68.49%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Minnesota Vikings (Visit)
Prediction 35.11%2.85fair odd
EV +1.13%
Edge +0.392%
Kelly +0.601%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 2.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.41%35.09%34.99%37.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.712.722.8840.00%36.94%36.76%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Denver Broncos (Local): 64.89%; Minnesota Vikings (Visit): 35.11%. For Minnesota Vikings (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.85. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.88, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.13%.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -5.92%E -4.08%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV +1.13%E +0.392%K +0.601%G +0.007% | 3.7% | 2026-08-29 00:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -6.56%E -4.56%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV +0.778%E +0.271%K +0.416%G +0.003% | 4.3% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -5.92%E -4.08%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV +0.427%E +0.149%K +0.230%G +0.001% | 3.9% | 2026-08-29 01:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -6.56%E -4.56%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -0.627%E -0.221%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 00:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -6.56%E -4.56%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -1.33%E -0.473%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 00:58 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.92%E -4.08%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.68%E -0.600%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 00:56 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.92%E -4.08%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.68%E -0.600%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 01:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.92%E -4.08%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.68%E -0.600%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 00:58 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -5.27%E -3.61%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -2.73%E -0.987%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-29 01:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.97%E -2.68%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.44%E -1.25%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-29 01:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.62%E -3.14%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.44%E -1.25%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-29 01:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.62%E -3.14%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.44%E -1.25%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-29 00:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.62%E -3.14%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.44%E -1.25%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-29 01:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.27%E -3.61%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -3.44%E -1.25%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-29 01:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.27%E -3.61%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -3.44%E -1.25%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-29 01:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.92%E -4.08%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.44%E -1.25%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 01:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -3.32%E -2.23%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -4.49%E -1.65%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-29 01:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.67%E -1.78%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.19%E -1.92%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-29 01:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.62%E -3.14%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.19%E -1.92%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 01:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.27%E -3.61%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -5.19%E -1.92%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.97%E -2.68%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.95%E -2.62%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.27%E -3.61%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.95%E -2.62%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 01:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.27%E -3.61%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.95%E -2.62%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 01:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.67%E -1.78%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.70%E -3.35%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.67%E -1.78%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.70%E -3.35%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.67%E -1.78%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.70%E -3.35%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.67%E -1.78%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.70%E -3.35%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.67%E -1.78%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.70%E -3.35%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -5.27%E -3.61%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -8.70%E -3.35%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.92%E -4.08%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.70%E -3.35%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.92%E -4.08%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.70%E -3.35%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 00:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.56%E -4.56%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.70%E -3.35%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 00:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -3.32%E -2.23%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -12.21%E -4.89%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 01:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 0.7% | 2026-08-29 01:03 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.74% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26% | 2.8% | 2026-08-29 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.82% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.18% | 3.2% | 2026-08-29 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.82% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.18% | 3.2% | 2026-08-29 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.82% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.18% | 3.2% | 2026-08-29 01:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.20% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.80% | 3.5% | 2026-08-29 00:59 |