Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Denver Broncos v Minnesota Vikings

2026-08-28 01:00 UTC — NFL Preseason

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

68%

32%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Denver Broncos (Local)

Prediction 68.03%1.47fair odd

EV -4.08%

Edge -2.89%

Kelly -9.96%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

67.29%68.03%68.03%68.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.361.391.401.4173.53%71.94%71.68%70.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Minnesota Vikings (Visit)

Prediction 31.97%3.13fair odd

EV -3.76%

Edge -1.25%

Kelly -1.87%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

31.59%31.97%31.97%32.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.882.942.943.0134.72%33.98%34.01%33.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Denver Broncos (Local): 68.03%; Minnesota Vikings (Visit): 31.97%. For Minnesota Vikings (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.13. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.01, with an expected value of -3.76%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.08%E -2.89%K -9.96%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-24 19:37
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.92%E -2.75%K -4.21%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-24 17:24
SportsBet🎯	1.39I 71.94%NM 68.41%EV -5.44%E -3.92%K -13.95%G +0.000%	3.01I 33.22%NM 31.59%EV -3.76%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-24 19:39
Paddy Power🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.48%E -5.50%K -20.79%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.92%E -2.75%K -4.21%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-08-24 17:23

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%	1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%	98.0%	2026-08-24 16:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%	1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%	98.0%	2026-08-24 16:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%	1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%	98.0%	2026-08-24 16:09