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Dallas Cowboys v New Orleans Saints
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dallas Cowboys (Local)
Prediction 62.11%1.61fair odd
EV -2.49%
Edge -1.59%
Kelly -4.38%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.43%62.22%62.25%64.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.531.541.5766.67%65.28%64.94%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New Orleans Saints (Visit)
Prediction 37.89%2.64fair odd
EV +2.32%
Edge +0.858%
Kelly +1.36%
Growth +0.032%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.71%37.78%37.75%40.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.502.492.7043.86%39.95%40.16%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dallas Cowboys (Local): 62.11%; New Orleans Saints (Visit): 37.89%. For New Orleans Saints (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.64. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.32%.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -6.84%E -4.56%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV +2.32%E +0.858%K +1.36%G +0.032% | 3.7% | 2026-08-28 23:28 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.98%E -3.25%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +0.421%E +0.159%K +0.255%G +0.001% | 3.1% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -6.22%E -4.12%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV +0.421%E +0.159%K +0.255%G +0.001% | 4.0% | 2026-08-28 23:48 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -6.22%E -4.12%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV +0.421%E +0.159%K +0.255%G +0.001% | 4.0% | 2026-08-28 23:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.36%E -2.83%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -1.47%E -0.567%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-28 23:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.22%E -4.12%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.47%E -0.567%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 00:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.84%E -4.56%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.47%E -0.567%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 23:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.84%E -4.56%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.47%E -0.567%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 23:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.84%E -4.56%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.47%E -0.567%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 23:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.71%EV -4.36%E -2.83%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.29%EV -1.85%E -0.715%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.98%E -3.25%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.37%E -1.32%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-29 00:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.22%E -4.12%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.37%E -1.32%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 22:42 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.84%E -4.56%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.37%E -1.32%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-28 23:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.36%E -2.83%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.75%E -1.48%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-28 23:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -5.60%E -3.68%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -3.75%E -1.48%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 00:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.49%E -1.59%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -5.26%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-28 23:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -4.36%E -2.83%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -5.64%E -2.27%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 23:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -3.12%E -2.00%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -6.02%E -2.43%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-29 00:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -3.74%E -2.41%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -6.02%E -2.43%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-28 23:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -3.74%E -2.41%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -6.02%E -2.43%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-28 23:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -3.74%E -2.41%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -6.02%E -2.43%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-28 23:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.12%E -2.00%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-28 23:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.74%E -2.41%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 23:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.74%E -2.41%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 23:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.36%E -2.83%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.36%E -2.83%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -9.05%E -3.77%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-28 23:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.36%E -2.83%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -9.05%E -3.77%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-28 23:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.98%E -3.25%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.05%E -3.77%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-28 23:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.98%E -3.25%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.05%E -3.77%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-28 23:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.84%E -4.56%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.05%E -3.77%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-28 23:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.74%E -2.41%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.95%E -4.66%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-28 23:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -2.49%E -1.59%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -12.84%E -5.58%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.84%EV -4.98%E -3.25%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.16%EV -13.60%E -5.96%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32% | 0.4% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98% | 1.4% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.46% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.54% | 3.7% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.46% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.54% | 3.7% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.46% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.54% | 3.7% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39% | 4.1% | 2026-08-28 23:59 |