Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Browns v New England Patriots

2026-08-28 00:00 UTC — NFL Preseason

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Browns (Local)

Prediction 42.90%2.33fair odd
EV +0.804%
Edge +0.342%
Kelly +0.596%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.25%42.91%42.78%44.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.222.202.3546.51%45.11%45.45%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New England Patriots (Visit)

Prediction 57.10%1.75fair odd
EV -2.35%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -3.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.81%57.09%57.22%58.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.681.681.7162.50%59.67%59.52%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Cleveland Browns (Local): 42.90%; New England Patriots (Visit): 57.10%. For Cleveland Browns (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.33. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.35, producing a positive expected value of +0.804%.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Everygame🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +0.804%E +0.342%K +0.596%G +0.005%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-24 19:23
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.34%E -0.583%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-24 18:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.34%E -0.583%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-24 19:18
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.34%E -0.583%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-24 19:18
BetAnything🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.34%E -0.583%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-24 19:19
FanDuel🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -3.06%E -1.35%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -4.06%E -2.42%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-24 19:24
Pinnacle🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -3.06%E -1.35%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -4.06%E -2.42%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-24 18:00
GTbets🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.49%E -1.55%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.49%E -2.07%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-24 17:50
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.49%E -1.55%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.49%E -2.07%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-24 17:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.49%E -1.55%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-24 19:29
DraftKings🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.91%E -1.75%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.06%E -2.42%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-24 17:50
Caesars🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -3.91%E -1.75%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-24 19:23
SportsBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -3.91%E -1.75%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-24 19:24
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.92%E -1.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-24 17:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.92%E -1.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-24 17:04
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.49%E -2.07%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-24 17:04
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.49%E -2.07%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-24 17:34
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.06%E -2.42%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-24 19:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-24 19:24
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.63%E -5.40%K -14.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-24 19:24
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.49%E -2.98%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-24 19:00
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.49%E -2.98%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-24 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -7.35%E -3.40%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -2.35%E -1.38%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-24 17:29
betPARX🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -7.35%E -3.40%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -2.35%E -1.38%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-24 17:28
Bally Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -7.35%E -3.40%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -2.35%E -1.38%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-24 17:34
BetRivers🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -7.35%E -3.40%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -2.35%E -1.38%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-24 17:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -7.35%E -3.40%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -2.35%E -1.38%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-24 17:29
MyBookie.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -7.35%E -3.40%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -2.92%E -1.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-24 19:04
ReBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -7.35%E -3.40%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.06%E -2.42%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-24 18:54
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.77%E -3.62%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-24 18:19
Dabble (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.77%E -3.62%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.49%E -4.62%K -12.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-24 19:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-08-24 18:59
ProphetX2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%1.2%2026-08-24 19:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%4.5%2026-08-24 19:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%4.5%2026-08-24 19:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%4.5%2026-08-24 19:45