Language:English
Cincinnati Bengals v Chicago Bears
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cincinnati Bengals (Local)
Prediction 37.72%2.65fair odd
EV +3.73%
Edge +1.36%
Kelly +2.13%
Growth +0.079%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.99%37.72%37.65%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.542.542.7541.67%39.31%39.37%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chicago Bears (Visit)
Prediction 62.28%1.61fair odd
EV -2.84%
Edge -1.82%
Kelly -5.07%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.54%62.28%62.35%65.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.521.521.5668.97%65.83%65.79%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cincinnati Bengals (Local): 37.72%; Chicago Bears (Visit): 62.28%. For Cincinnati Bengals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.65. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.73%.
Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV +3.73%E +1.36%K +2.13%G +0.079% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -7.20%E -4.83%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-22 22:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +3.73%E +1.36%K +2.13%G +0.079% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -7.82%E -5.29%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-22 22:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +3.73%E +1.36%K +2.13%G +0.079% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -7.82%E -5.29%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-22 23:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +3.73%E +1.36%K +2.13%G +0.079% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -7.82%E -5.29%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-22 22:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV +1.84%E +0.682%K +1.08%G +0.020% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-22 23:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.93%E -0.743%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.71%E -3.08%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-22 22:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.98%EV -2.31%E -0.891%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.02%EV -5.33%E -3.51%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-22 22:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -3.06%E -1.19%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -5.33%E -3.51%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 22:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.41%EV -3.44%E -1.34%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.59%EV -4.71%E -3.08%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-22 23:02 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.82%E -1.50%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.09%E -2.65%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-22 23:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.82%E -1.50%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.71%E -3.08%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-22 23:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.82%E -1.50%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.33%E -3.51%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-22 22:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.82%E -1.50%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.33%E -3.51%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-22 22:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.82%E -1.50%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.96%E -3.94%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 23:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.82%E -1.50%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 23:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -4.19%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.09%E -2.65%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-22 23:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.70%E -2.28%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.84%E -1.82%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-22 22:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.70%E -2.28%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.71%E -3.08%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 23:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.70%E -2.28%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.71%E -3.08%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 22:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.70%E -2.28%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.71%E -3.08%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 22:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -6.46%E -2.60%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -3.46%E -2.23%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 22:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -6.46%E -2.60%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -3.46%E -2.23%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 22:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -6.46%E -2.60%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -3.46%E -2.23%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 22:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -6.46%E -2.60%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -3.46%E -2.23%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 22:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -6.46%E -2.60%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -3.46%E -2.23%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 22:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.59%E -3.10%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.33%E -3.51%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-22 22:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.59%E -3.10%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.33%E -3.51%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-22 22:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.59%E -3.10%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -5.96%E -3.94%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 22:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.59%E -3.10%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-22 23:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-22 22:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -9.69%E -6.68%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-22 23:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53% | 1.6% | 2026-08-22 23:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.71% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.29% | 3.6% | 2026-08-22 23:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.71% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.29% | 3.6% | 2026-08-22 23:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.71% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.29% | 3.6% | 2026-08-22 23:04 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95% | 3.8% | 2026-08-22 22:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77% | 4.5% | 2026-08-22 23:04 |