Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Bears v Cleveland Browns

2026-08-15 17:00 UTC — NFL Preseason

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

52%

48%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Bears (Local)

Prediction 51.81%1.93fair odd

EV -3.12%

Edge -1.67%

Kelly -3.59%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

51.05%51.76%51.60%52.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.801.841.831.8755.56%54.38%54.64%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cleveland Browns (Visit)

Prediction 48.19%2.07fair odd

EV -3.61%

Edge -1.81%

Kelly -3.61%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

47.78%48.24%48.40%48.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.911.971.982.0052.36%50.71%50.51%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Chicago Bears (Local): 51.81%; Cleveland Browns (Visit): 48.19%. For Chicago Bears (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.93. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.87, with an expected value of -3.12%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetMGM🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -3.12%E -1.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -4.57%E -2.31%K -4.67%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-07 18:09
theScore Bet🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.12%E -1.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.02%E -3.09%K -6.34%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-07 17:35
GTbets🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.12%E -1.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.02%E -3.09%K -6.34%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-07 18:59
FanDuel🎯	1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -3.64%E -1.96%K -4.24%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -4.57%E -2.31%K -4.67%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-07 12:55
SportsBet🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.16%E -2.25%K -4.89%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.02%E -3.09%K -6.34%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-07 12:55
LeoVegas🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.16%E -2.25%K -4.89%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.02%E -3.09%K -6.34%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-07 18:00
DraftKings🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.20%E -2.84%K -6.26%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.61%E -1.81%K -3.61%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-07 18:00
BetRivers🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.20%E -2.84%K -6.26%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.61%E -1.81%K -3.61%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-07 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.20%E -2.84%K -6.26%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.61%E -1.81%K -3.61%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-07 15:49
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.20%E -2.84%K -6.26%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.61%E -1.81%K -3.61%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-07 15:49
betPARX🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.20%E -2.84%K -6.26%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.61%E -1.81%K -3.61%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-07 15:48
Bally Bet🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.20%E -2.84%K -6.26%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.61%E -1.81%K -3.61%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-07 16:05
Fanatics🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.20%E -2.84%K -6.26%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.61%E -1.81%K -3.61%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-07 18:00
NordicBet🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.71%E -3.14%K -6.97%G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.50%E -3.35%K -6.92%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-08-07 18:00
Betsson🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.71%E -3.14%K -6.97%G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.50%E -3.35%K -6.92%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-08-07 17:59
Paddy Power🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.75%E -3.75%K -8.44%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.95%E -4.16%K -8.73%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-08-07 12:59

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.96I 51.02%NM 46.59%	1.71I 58.48%NM 53.41%	9.5%	2026-08-07 17:55