Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Buffalo Bills v Pittsburgh Steelers

2026-08-27 23:00 UTC — NFL Preseason

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Buffalo Bills (Local)

Prediction 55.04%1.82fair odd
EV -1.48%
Edge -0.824%
Kelly -1.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.26%55.07%55.04%56.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.731.741.7959.52%57.69%57.47%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pittsburgh Steelers (Visit)

Prediction 44.96%2.22fair odd
EV -1.09%
Edge -0.496%
Kelly -0.909%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.73%44.93%44.96%46.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.122.122.2050.00%47.25%47.17%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Buffalo Bills (Local): 55.04%; Pittsburgh Steelers (Visit): 44.96%. For Pittsburgh Steelers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.22. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.20, with an expected value of -1.09%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
MyBookie.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -1.48%E -0.824%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -8.28%E -4.06%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-24 15:03
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.58%E -1.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-24 19:24
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.58%E -1.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-24 16:59
Caesars🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.68%E -2.10%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-24 18:57
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.68%E -2.10%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.49%E -3.12%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-24 19:24
ReBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -3.68%E -2.10%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -8.28%E -4.06%K -7.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 14:58
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.23%E -2.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -2.89%E -1.34%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-24 17:09
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.23%E -2.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.34%E -1.55%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-24 19:24
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.23%E -2.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.34%E -1.55%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-24 19:24
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.23%E -2.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.34%E -1.55%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-24 17:03
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.23%E -2.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.79%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-24 19:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.23%E -2.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-24 15:19
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.23%E -2.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-24 15:17
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.23%E -2.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-24 15:17
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.23%E -2.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-24 15:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.23%E -2.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-24 15:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.23%E -2.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-24 18:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.78%E -2.76%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-24 19:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.78%E -2.76%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-24 19:19
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.78%E -2.76%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-24 19:19
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.78%E -2.76%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.08%E -5.04%K -10.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-24 19:19
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.33%E -3.10%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-24 16:59
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.33%E -3.10%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.49%E -3.12%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 19:00
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.33%E -3.10%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.49%E -3.12%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 19:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.88%E -3.44%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.09%E -0.496%K -0.909%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-24 19:14
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.88%E -3.44%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.09%E -0.496%K -0.909%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-24 19:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.88%E -3.44%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.09%E -0.496%K -0.909%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-24 19:18
Everygame🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.88%E -3.44%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.09%E -0.496%K -0.909%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-24 19:23
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.88%E -3.44%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.34%E -1.55%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-24 19:24
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.88%E -3.44%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-24 19:24
Dabble (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -7.53%E -4.48%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -7.83%E -3.82%K -7.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-24 16:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.75%1.6%2026-08-24 19:34
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%1.8%2026-08-24 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%4.6%2026-08-24 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%4.6%2026-08-24 16:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 37.41%1.01I 99.01%NM 62.59%58.2%2026-08-24 16:39