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Baltimore Ravens v Washington Commanders
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Baltimore Ravens (Local)
Prediction 62.85%1.59fair odd
EV -0.074%
Edge -0.047%
Kelly -0.125%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.59
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.41%62.46%62.86%64.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.521.521.5968.03%65.82%65.79%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Washington Commanders (Visit)
Prediction 37.15%2.69fair odd
EV +0.314%
Edge +0.116%
Kelly +0.185%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.71%37.54%37.14%39.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.532.552.7042.55%39.53%39.22%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Baltimore Ravens (Local): 62.85%; Washington Commanders (Visit): 37.15%. For Washington Commanders (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.69. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.314%.
Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -5.73%E -3.82%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV +0.314%E +0.116%K +0.185%G +0.001% | 3.7% | 2026-08-28 21:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -5.73%E -3.82%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV +0.314%E +0.116%K +0.185%G +0.001% | 3.7% | 2026-08-28 21:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.29%EV -4.47%E -2.94%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.71%EV -2.66%E -1.01%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-28 22:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.73%E -3.82%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.66%E -1.01%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-28 21:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.22%E -2.09%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.40%E -1.31%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-28 21:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.84%E -2.51%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.40%E -1.31%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-28 22:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.84%E -2.51%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.40%E -1.31%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-28 21:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.47%E -2.94%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.40%E -1.31%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-28 22:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.47%E -2.94%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.40%E -1.31%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-28 21:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -3.84%E -2.51%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.14%EV -3.77%E -1.46%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-28 21:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.84%E -2.51%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.26%E -2.06%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-28 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.47%E -2.94%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.26%E -2.06%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 22:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.47%E -2.94%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.26%E -2.06%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 22:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.10%E -3.38%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.26%E -2.06%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 21:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.10%E -3.38%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.26%E -2.06%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 21:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.10%E -3.38%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.26%E -2.06%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 21:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.10%E -3.38%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.26%E -2.06%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 21:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.10%E -3.38%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.26%E -2.06%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 21:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.84%E -2.51%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 21:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.84%E -2.51%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 22:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.84%E -2.51%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 22:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.10%E -3.38%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-28 22:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.62%E -5.18%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-28 22:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -5.73%E -3.82%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -8.23%E -3.33%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-28 22:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -0.074%E -0.047%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -8.97%E -3.66%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-28 22:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.84%E -2.51%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.97%E -3.66%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-28 21:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.47%E -2.94%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.97%E -3.66%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-28 22:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.47%E -2.94%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.97%E -3.66%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-28 21:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -3.22%E -2.09%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -10.83%E -4.51%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-28 21:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.73%E -3.82%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.83%E -4.51%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-28 22:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.73%E -3.82%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.83%E -4.51%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-28 22:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -3.22%E -2.09%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -12.69%E -5.40%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-28 21:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 0.8% | 2026-08-28 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86% | 1.0% | 2026-08-28 22:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.02% | 1.3% | 2026-08-28 22:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50% | 1.3% | 2026-08-28 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56% | 1.9% | 2026-08-28 22:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87% | 3.3% | 2026-08-28 21:59 |