Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Baltimore Ravens v Philadelphia Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-08-15 23:07 UTC

Final: Baltimore Ravens 24–7 Philadelphia Eagles

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Baltimore Ravens (Local)

Prediction 37.76%2.65fair odd
EV +0.065%
Edge +0.024%
Kelly +0.039%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.99%37.72%37.50%39.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.532.522.6541.67%39.48%39.60%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Philadelphia Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 62.24%1.61fair odd
EV -1.04%
Edge -0.653%
Kelly -1.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.45%62.28%62.50%64.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.531.531.5968.97%65.53%65.36%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Baltimore Ravens (Local): 37.76%; Philadelphia Eagles (Visit): 62.24%. For Baltimore Ravens (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.648. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.650, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.065%.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV +0.065%E +0.024%K +0.039%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.26%E -4.87%K -14.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 19:54
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV +0.065%E +0.024%K +0.039%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.26%E -4.87%K -14.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV +0.065%E +0.024%K +0.039%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.26%E -4.87%K -14.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 19:54
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV +0.065%E +0.024%K +0.039%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.26%E -4.87%K -14.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 19:53
Bally Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV +0.065%E +0.024%K +0.039%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.26%E -4.87%K -14.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 19:54
MyBookie.ag🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -0.690%E -0.262%K -0.424%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -6.64%E -4.43%K -13.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 21:53
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.82%E -0.701%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.77%E -3.12%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-15 22:59
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.82%E -0.701%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.77%E -3.12%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-15 22:29
SportsBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -2.58%E -0.999%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -6.02%E -3.99%K -11.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 22:59
Pinnacle🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.41%EV -3.33%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.59%EV -4.77%E -3.12%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 22:59
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.71%E -1.46%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.91%E -1.86%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-15 22:58
BetAnything🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.71%E -1.46%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.91%E -1.86%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-15 21:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.71%E -1.46%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.77%E -3.12%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 22:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.71%E -1.46%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.64%E -4.43%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 16:04
Paddy Power🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -3.71%E -1.46%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.75%E -6.73%K -21.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 14:59
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -5.60%E -2.24%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.28%E -1.45%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-15 21:54
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.60%E -2.24%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.91%E -1.86%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 22:49
GTbets🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.60%E -2.24%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.91%E -1.86%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 21:39
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.60%E -2.24%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.91%E -1.86%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 22:29
Fliff🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.60%E -2.24%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.02%E -3.99%K -11.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 22:59
NordicBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.60%E -2.24%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.64%E -4.43%K -13.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 22:54
Betsson🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.60%E -2.24%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.64%E -4.43%K -13.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 22:54
BetUS🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -7.11%E -2.89%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -1.04%E -0.653%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-15 22:09
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -7.49%E -3.06%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.28%E -1.45%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 22:39
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.49%E -3.06%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.53%E -2.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 21:30
TAB🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.49%E -3.06%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.53%E -2.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 21:29
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.49%E -3.06%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.64%E -4.43%K -13.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 22:50
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.49%E -3.06%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -8.51%E -5.79%K -18.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 22:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.38%E -3.91%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.28%E -1.45%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 21:54
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.38%E -3.91%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.28%E -1.45%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 21:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-08-15 22:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%0.9%2026-08-15 22:59
Novig2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-08-15 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-08-15 22:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%1.9%2026-08-15 22:59
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%3.2%2026-08-15 22:50