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Arizona Cardinals v Dallas Cowboys
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Arizona Cardinals (Local)
Prediction 45.15%2.21fair odd
EV +2.94%
Edge +1.29%
Kelly +2.29%
Growth +0.067%
assuming max odds 2.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.42%45.01%45.13%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.112.102.2850.00%47.41%47.62%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Dallas Cowboys (Visit)
Prediction 54.85%1.82fair odd
EV -1.81%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -2.30%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.79
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.05%54.99%54.87%57.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.741.741.7959.88%57.51%57.47%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona Cardinals (Local): 45.15%; Dallas Cowboys (Visit): 54.85%. For Arizona Cardinals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.21. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.28, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.94%.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV +2.94%E +1.29%K +2.29%G +0.067% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -7.85%E -4.67%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-23 02:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV +2.94%E +1.29%K +2.29%G +0.067% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -7.85%E -4.67%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-23 02:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.675%E -0.307%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.20%E -3.63%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-23 01:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.675%E -0.307%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.20%E -3.63%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-23 02:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.93%E -1.36%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.56%E -2.62%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-23 02:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.93%E -1.36%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.56%E -2.62%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-23 01:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.93%E -1.36%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.56%E -2.62%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-23 02:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.93%E -1.36%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.56%E -2.62%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-23 01:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.93%E -1.36%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.56%E -2.62%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-23 01:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.38%E -1.58%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.56%E -2.62%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-23 01:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.19%E -2.47%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.91%E -1.65%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-23 02:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.19%E -2.47%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.01%E -2.29%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-23 02:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.19%E -2.47%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.01%E -2.29%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-23 01:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.19%E -2.47%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.01%E -2.29%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-23 01:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.19%E -2.47%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.01%E -2.29%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-23 01:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.19%E -2.47%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.56%E -2.62%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-23 01:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.19%E -2.47%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.30%E -4.32%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-23 01:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -5.64%E -2.70%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -6.20%E -3.63%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 02:03 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -6.09%E -2.93%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -1.81%E -1.01%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-23 01:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -6.09%E -2.93%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -2.91%E -1.65%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-23 02:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -6.09%E -2.93%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -2.91%E -1.65%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-23 02:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -6.09%E -2.93%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -2.91%E -1.65%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-23 02:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -6.09%E -2.93%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -2.91%E -1.65%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-23 02:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.09%E -2.93%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.46%E -1.97%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-23 01:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.09%E -2.93%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.46%E -1.97%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-23 01:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.09%E -2.93%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.65%E -3.29%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-23 02:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.09%E -2.93%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.65%E -3.29%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-23 02:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -6.09%E -2.93%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -8.40%E -5.03%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-23 02:02 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.54%E -3.16%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.46%E -1.97%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-23 02:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.45%E -3.63%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.01%E -2.29%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-23 01:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.45%E -3.63%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.56%E -2.62%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 02:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.70%E -4.85%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.91%E -1.65%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-23 01:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.70%E -4.85%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.11%E -2.95%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-23 01:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 0.5% | 2026-08-23 02:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19% | 0.6% | 2026-08-23 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00% | 2.0% | 2026-08-23 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00% | 2.0% | 2026-08-23 02:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64% | 2.1% | 2026-08-23 02:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33% | 2.7% | 2026-08-23 01:59 |