Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Cardinals v Carolina Panthers

Kickoff: 2026-08-07 00:09 UTC

Final: Arizona Cardinals 30–33 Carolina Panthers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Cardinals (Local)

Prediction 46.22%2.16fair odd
EV -0.623%
Edge -0.290%
Kelly -0.541%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.30%46.27%46.11%47.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.052.052.1551.28%48.77%48.78%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Carolina Panthers (Visit)

Prediction 53.78%1.86fair odd
EV -1.59%
Edge -0.867%
Kelly -1.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.22%53.73%53.89%55.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.781.781.8358.48%56.14%56.18%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona Cardinals (Local): 46.22%; Carolina Panthers (Visit): 53.78%. For Arizona Cardinals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.16. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.15, with an expected value of -0.623%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -0.623%E -0.290%K -0.541%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -8.04%E -4.70%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 00:05
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.93%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 23:15
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.93%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 00:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.86%E -1.85%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.28%E -2.40%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 23:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.86%E -1.85%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.28%E -2.40%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 23:15
ReBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.86%E -1.85%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 23:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.86%E -1.85%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.86%E -1.85%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 00:05
betPARX🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.86%E -1.85%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 00:05
Bally Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.86%E -1.85%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 00:05
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.86%E -1.85%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 00:05
Pinnacle🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -2.66%E -1.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-06 22:55
MyBookie.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 23:30
GTbets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 21:20
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 00:05
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 00:05
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 21:02
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 00:00
BetAnything🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 23:20
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.28%E -2.40%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 22:50
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 23:25
FanDuel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -1.59%E -0.867%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 23:20
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.59%E -0.867%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 23:25
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.59%E -0.867%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.12%E -1.17%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 00:01
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.12%E -1.17%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 00:01
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -2.66%E -1.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 23:20
LeoVegas🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -8.48%E -4.28%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 00:00
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.87%E -5.06%K -10.39%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-06 23:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-08-07 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%1.5%2026-08-07 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%1.5%2026-08-07 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%1.5%2026-08-07 00:05
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 47.69%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.31%2.8%2026-08-06 23:59
ProphetX2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%3.2%2026-08-07 00:05

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