The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Washington Commanders v Los Angeles Rams

2026-11-08 18:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Commanders (Local)

Prediction 34.04%2.94fair odd
EV -4.69%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -2.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.81%34.04%34.04%34.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.802.802.8035.71%35.71%35.71%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Rams (Visit)

Prediction 65.96%1.52fair odd
EV -3.70%
Edge -2.53%
Kelly -8.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.73%65.96%65.96%66.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.441.441.4669.93%69.20%69.20%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Washington Commanders (Local): 34.04%; Los Angeles Rams (Visit): 65.96%. For Los Angeles Rams (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.52. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.46, with an expected value of -3.70%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -4.69%E -1.68%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.70%E -2.53%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-06 22:10
Caesars🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.69%E -1.68%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.68%E -3.97%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-22 22:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.