The School of Odds

Washington Commanders v Los Angeles Rams

2026-11-08 18:00 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Washington Commanders (Local)

Prediction 33.42%2.99fair odd
EV -3.09%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -1.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.03%33.42%33.42%33.81%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.802.852.852.9036%35%35%34%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Los Angeles Rams (Visit)

Prediction 66.58%1.50fair odd
EV -4.78%
Edge -3.35%
Kelly -11.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.19%66.58%66.58%66.97%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.431.431.431.4370%70%70%70%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.09%E -1.07%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.78%E -3.35%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-22 22:42
Caesars2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.44%E -2.30%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.78%E -3.35%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-22 22:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.