Washington Commanders v Houston Texans

2026-12-13 18:00 — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: Washington Commanders (Local)

Odds

1.9551.28%Min

2.0249.38%Mean

2.0249.38%Median

2.1047.62%Max

Consensus probabilities

45.74%2.186Min

48.00%2.083Max

46.87%2.134Mean

46.87%2.134Median

46.87%2.134IQM

46.63%2.145Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.10 under the IQM model: 46.87%

EV -1.58%Edge -0.751%Kelly -1.43%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Houston Texans (Visit)

Odds

1.7756.50%Min

1.7956.02%Mean

1.7956.02%Median

1.8055.56%Max

Consensus probabilities

52.00%1.923Min

54.26%1.843Max

53.13%1.882Mean

53.13%1.882Median

53.13%1.882IQM

53.37%1.874Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.80 under the IQM model: 53.13%

EV -4.36%Edge -2.42%Kelly -5.45%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Washington Commanders (Local) ▼	Houston Texans (Visit)	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	2.10I 47.62% NM 45.74%EV -1.58% E -0.751% K -1.43% G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50% NM 54.26%EV -5.96% E -3.37% K -7.74% G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-06-22 22:39
Caesars	1.95I 51.28% NM 48.00%EV -8.61% E -4.41% K -9.06% G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56% NM 52.00%EV -4.36% E -2.42% K -5.45% G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-06-22 22:48

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth