The School of Odds

Washington Commanders v Dallas Cowboys

2027-01-10 18:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

1 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Washington Commanders (Local)

Prediction 47.40%2.11fair odd
EV -4.26%
Edge -2.11%
Kelly -4.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.40%47.40%47.40%47.40%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.022.022.022.0250%50%50%50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Dallas Cowboys (Visit)

Prediction 52.60%1.90fair odd
EV -4.26%
Edge -2.34%
Kelly -5.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.60%52.60%52.60%52.60%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.821.821.821.8255%55%55%55%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.26%E -2.11%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.26%E -2.34%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-21 08:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.