Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Commanders v Dallas Cowboys

2027-01-10 18:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

47%

53%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Commanders (Local)

Prediction 47.40%2.11fair odd

EV -4.26%

Edge -2.11%

Kelly -4.18%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

47.40%47.40%47.40%47.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.022.022.022.0249.50%49.50%49.50%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dallas Cowboys (Visit)

Prediction 52.60%1.90fair odd

EV -4.26%

Edge -2.34%

Kelly -5.20%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

52.60%52.60%52.60%52.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.821.821.821.8254.95%54.95%54.95%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Washington Commanders (Local): 47.40%; Dallas Cowboys (Visit): 52.60%. For Washington Commanders (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.11. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.02, with an expected value of -4.26%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.26%E -2.11%K -4.18%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.26%E -2.34%K -5.20%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-08-06 22:10

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.