The School of Odds
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Washington Commanders v Cincinnati Bengals

2026-11-24 01:15 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Commanders (Local)

Prediction 47.70%2.10fair odd
EV -3.65%
Edge -1.81%
Kelly -3.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.40%47.70%47.70%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.951.991.992.0251.28%50.34%50.25%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cincinnati Bengals (Visit)

Prediction 52.30%1.91fair odd
EV -4.81%
Edge -2.64%
Kelly -5.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%52.30%52.30%52.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.811.821.8255.56%55.15%54.95%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Washington Commanders (Local): 47.70%; Cincinnati Bengals (Visit): 52.30%. For Washington Commanders (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.10. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.02, with an expected value of -3.65%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.65%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 14:38
Betr (AU)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.08%E -2.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 22:05
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 09:58
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.