The School of Odds

Tennessee Titans v Jacksonville Jaguars

2026-11-15 18:00 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Tennessee Titans (Local)

Prediction 41.63%2.40fair odd
EV +4.09%
Edge +1.63%
Kelly +2.72%
Growth +0.111%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.42%41.63%41.63%44.85%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.142.322.322.5047%43%43%40%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Jacksonville Jaguars (Visit)

Prediction 58.37%1.71fair odd
EV +1.56%
Edge +0.894%
Kelly +2.10%
Growth +0.033%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.15%58.37%58.37%61.58%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.561.651.651.7464%61%61%57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +4.09%E +1.63%K +2.72%G +0.111%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -8.95%E -5.74%K -15.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-22 22:48
DraftKings2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -10.90%E -5.09%K -9.56%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV +1.56%E +0.894%K +2.10%G +0.033%4.2%2026-07-21 09:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Arbitrage (1 combination) +2.59%Caesars 2.50 (41.0%) / DraftKings 1.74 (59.0%)Show details
Tennessee Titans (Local)Jacksonville Jaguars (Visit)Margin
Caesars 2.50 (41.0%)DraftKings 1.74 (59.0%)+2.59%