The School of Odds

Tennessee Titans v Indianapolis Colts

2026-12-20 18:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Tennessee Titans (Local)

Prediction 47.50%2.11fair odd
EV -2.62%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -2.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.75%47.50%47.62%48.13%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.941.991.982.0552%50%51%49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Indianapolis Colts (Visit)

Prediction 52.50%1.90fair odd
EV -5.50%
Edge -3.06%
Kelly -6.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.87%52.50%52.38%53.25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.801.801.801.8056%56%56%56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.62%E -1.28%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.50%E -3.06%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-20 13:07
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.95%E -3.00%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.50%E -3.06%K -6.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-20 13:10
Caesars1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -7.85%E -4.05%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -5.50%E -3.06%K -6.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-20 13:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.