Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers v Pittsburgh Steelers

2026-10-18 17:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Local)

Prediction 44.59%2.24fair odd
EV -1.90%
Edge -0.863%
Kelly -1.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%44.64%44.73%46.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.892.132.152.2052.91%46.87%46.51%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pittsburgh Steelers (Visit)

Prediction 55.41%1.80fair odd
EV -1.93%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -2.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.30%55.36%55.27%56.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.721.721.7764.10%58.17%58.14%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Local): 44.59%; Pittsburgh Steelers (Visit): 55.41%. For Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.20, with an expected value of -1.90%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.90%E -0.863%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-13 15:10
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -1.90%E -0.863%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-13 22:45
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.90%E -0.863%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.47%E -4.47%K -11.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-13 15:09
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.90%E -0.863%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.47%E -4.47%K -11.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-13 10:53
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.90%E -0.863%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.47%E -4.47%K -11.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-13 10:54
Pinnacle🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.42%EV -2.34%E -1.07%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.58%EV -3.04%E -1.73%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-13 15:19
SportsBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -2.34%E -1.07%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -6.91%E -4.12%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-13 10:54
Caesars🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.79%E -1.28%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.70%E -2.73%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-13 15:14
Coolbet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.79%E -1.28%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.70%E -2.73%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-13 20:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.04%E -1.73%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-13 15:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.04%E -1.73%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-13 15:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.04%E -1.73%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-13 15:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.04%E -1.73%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-13 15:09
ReBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.59%E -2.06%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-13 16:00
GTbets🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.59%E -2.06%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-13 15:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.59%E -2.06%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-13 15:09
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.59%E -2.06%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-13 15:08
BetAnything🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.59%E -2.06%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-13 17:13
LowVig.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.59%E -2.06%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-13 15:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.59%E -2.06%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-13 15:09
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.14%E -2.40%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-13 15:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.14%E -2.40%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-13 15:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.70%E -2.73%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-13 15:09
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.70%E -2.73%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-13 15:14
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-13 15:15
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-13 15:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-13 15:14
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-13 16:00
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-13 15:59
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-13 16:00
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-13 15:59
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-13 15:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-13 15:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-13 15:59
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-13 15:59
DraftKings🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.57%E -2.14%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.59%E -2.06%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-13 15:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.57%E -2.14%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.14%E -2.40%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-13 15:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.47%E -2.58%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.04%E -1.73%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-13 15:09
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.47%E -2.58%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.59%E -2.06%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-13 15:09
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.47%E -2.58%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.59%E -2.06%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-13 15:09
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.47%E -2.58%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.59%E -2.06%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-13 15:10
Bally Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.47%E -2.58%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.59%E -2.06%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-13 15:14
Codere (IT)🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -5.91%E -2.80%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-13 16:03
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.93%E -1.09%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-13 15:59
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.93%E -1.09%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-13 21:44
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.93%E -1.09%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-13 15:59
Everygame🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.93%E -1.09%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-13 21:59
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.59%E -2.06%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-13 15:09
Dabble (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.70%E -2.73%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-13 15:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-13 16:04
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-13 15:09
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-13 21:49
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-13 21:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -7.25%E -3.49%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -4.14%E -2.40%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-13 17:19
NetBet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -7.69%E -3.72%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -8.58%E -5.20%K -13.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-13 17:54
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.47%E -4.47%K -11.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-13 16:39
MyBookie.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -9.92%E -4.91%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -1.93%E -1.09%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-13 16:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 45.22%EV -15.72%E -8.32%K -17.66%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 54.78%EV -13.56%E -8.69%K -24.22%G +0.000%17.0%2026-10-13 15:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%0.1%2026-10-13 23:49
Novig◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-10-14 04:55
ProphetX◎2.23I 44.84%NM 44.53%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.47%0.7%2026-10-13 22:25
Polymarket◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-10-13 16:00
Matchbook◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-10-14 04:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%1.2%2026-10-13 23:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%1.2%2026-10-13 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%1.2%2026-10-13 23:25
Kalshi◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.2%2026-10-14 04:15
Smarkets◎2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%4.1%2026-10-14 05:00