Tampa Bay Buccaneers v Pittsburgh Steelers

2026-10-18 17:00 — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Local)

Odds

1.7656.82%Min

1.7856.18%Mean

1.7856.18%Median

1.8055.56%Max

Consensus probabilities

53.19%1.880Min

53.25%1.878Max

53.22%1.879Mean

53.22%1.879Median

53.22%1.879IQM

53.22%1.879Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.80 under the IQM model: 53.22%

EV -4.21%Edge -2.34%Kelly -5.26%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Pittsburgh Steelers (Visit)

Odds

2.0050.00%Min

2.0249.38%Mean

2.0249.38%Median

2.0548.78%Max

Consensus probabilities

46.75%2.139Min

46.81%2.136Max

46.78%2.138Mean

46.78%2.138Median

46.78%2.138IQM

46.78%2.138Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.05 under the IQM model: 46.78%

EV -4.10%Edge -2.00%Kelly -3.90%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Local) ▼	Pittsburgh Steelers (Visit)	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	1.80I 55.56% NM 53.25%EV -4.21% E -2.34% K -5.26% G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78% NM 46.75%EV -4.10% E -2.00% K -3.90% G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-05-15 02:15
Caesars	1.76I 56.82% NM 53.19%EV -6.33% E -3.60% K -8.33% G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00% NM 46.81%EV -6.44% E -3.22% K -6.44% G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-06-22 22:48

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth