Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers v New Orleans Saints

2026-12-20 18:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

65%

35%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Local)

Prediction 64.65%1.55fair odd

EV -1.73%

Edge -1.14%

Kelly -3.33%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

63.11%64.65%64.65%66.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.431.481.481.5269.93%67.80%67.80%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New Orleans Saints (Visit)

Prediction 35.35%2.83fair odd

EV -1.02%

Edge -0.365%

Kelly -0.567%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

33.81%35.35%35.35%36.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.602.702.702.8038.46%37.04%37.04%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Local): 64.65%; New Orleans Saints (Visit): 35.35%. For New Orleans Saints (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.83. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.80, with an expected value of -1.02%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -1.73%E -1.14%K -3.33%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -8.09%E -3.11%K -5.06%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-04 22:35
Caesars🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.55%E -5.28%K -17.56%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.02%E -0.365%K -0.567%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-29 04:28

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.