Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers v New Orleans Saints

2026-12-20 18:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

65%

35%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Local)

Prediction 64.90%1.54fair odd

EV -1.99%

Edge -1.32%

Kelly -3.91%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

63.61%64.90%64.90%66.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.431.471.471.5169.93%68.03%68.03%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New Orleans Saints (Visit)

Prediction 35.10%2.85fair odd

EV -1.73%

Edge -0.618%

Kelly -0.962%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

33.81%35.10%35.10%36.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.642.722.722.8037.88%36.76%36.76%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -1.99%E -1.32%K -3.91%G +0.000%	2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -7.35%E -2.78%K -4.48%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-29 04:29
Caesars	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.19%E -5.03%K -16.71%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.73%E -0.618%K -0.962%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-29 04:28

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.