Tampa Bay Buccaneers v Minnesota Vikings

2026-09-27 20:05 — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Local)

Odds

1.6959.17%Min

1.7557.31%Mean

1.7557.31%Median

1.8055.56%Max

Consensus probabilities

53.25%1.878Min

55.99%1.786Max

54.62%1.831Mean

54.62%1.831Median

54.62%1.831IQM

54.46%1.836Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.80 under the IQM model: 54.62%

EV -1.69%Edge -0.937%Kelly -2.11%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Minnesota Vikings (Visit)

Odds

2.0548.78%Min

2.1047.62%Mean

2.1047.62%Median

2.1546.51%Max

Consensus probabilities

44.01%2.272Min

46.75%2.139Max

45.38%2.204Mean

45.38%2.204Median

45.38%2.204IQM

45.54%2.196Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.15 under the IQM model: 45.38%

EV -2.43%Edge -1.13%Kelly -2.11%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Local) ▼	Minnesota Vikings (Visit)	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	1.80I 55.56% NM 53.25%EV -1.69% E -0.937% K -2.11% G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78% NM 46.75%EV -6.97% E -3.40% K -6.64% G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-05-15 01:55
Bet Right	1.75I 57.14% NM 54.55%EV -4.42% E -2.52% K -5.89% G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62% NM 45.45%EV -4.70% E -2.24% K -4.27% G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-05-26 02:11
Caesars	1.69I 59.17% NM 55.99%EV -7.70% E -4.55% K -11.15% G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51% NM 44.01%EV -2.43% E -1.13% K -2.11% G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-05-15 20:58

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth