Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers v Minnesota Vikings

2026-09-27 20:05 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Local)

Prediction 47.07%2.12fair odd
EV -2.57%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -2.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.32%47.18%46.95%48.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.822.022.022.0754.95%49.57%49.50%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Minnesota Vikings (Visit)

Prediction 52.93%1.89fair odd
EV -2.61%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -3.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.59%52.82%53.05%53.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.801.801.8461.35%55.64%55.56%54.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Local): 47.07%; Minnesota Vikings (Visit): 52.93%. For Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.12. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.07, with an expected value of -2.57%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -2.57%E -1.24%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -5.25%E -2.94%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-23 14:20
Pinnacle🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.18%EV -3.04%E -1.47%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.82%EV -2.61%E -1.42%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-22 10:09
FanDuel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.04%E -1.47%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -4.20%E -2.32%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-23 14:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.51%E -1.71%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.14%E -1.71%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-23 22:14
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.51%E -1.71%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.14%E -1.71%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-23 22:14
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.51%E -1.71%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.14%E -1.71%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-23 22:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.51%E -1.71%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.14%E -1.71%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-23 22:14
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -3.51%E -1.71%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -4.20%E -2.32%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-21 21:07
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -3.51%E -1.71%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -4.20%E -2.32%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-24 00:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.51%E -1.71%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-23 19:20
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.51%E -1.71%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-23 18:35
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.51%E -1.71%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-23 15:44
BetAnything🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.51%E -1.71%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-23 19:20
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.51%E -1.71%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-22 00:31
LowVig.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.51%E -1.71%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-23 19:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.51%E -1.71%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-23 19:20
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.51%E -1.71%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-23 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.51%E -1.71%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.78%E -3.25%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-23 23:54
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.51%E -1.71%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.78%E -3.25%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-23 23:55
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.51%E -1.71%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.31%E -3.57%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-24 00:10
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.51%E -1.71%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.31%E -3.57%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-22 00:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.98%E -1.95%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.67%E -2.01%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-23 22:14
MyBookie.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -3.98%E -1.95%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -6.84%E -3.89%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-22 14:09
Betsson🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -4.45%E -2.19%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.78%E -3.25%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 00:10
NordicBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -4.45%E -2.19%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.78%E -3.25%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 00:09
ReBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.92%E -2.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.14%E -1.71%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-21 23:14
DraftKings🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.92%E -2.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.67%E -2.01%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-23 18:35
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.92%E -2.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.20%E -2.32%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-23 22:15
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.92%E -2.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.20%E -2.32%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-23 22:14
Bally Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.92%E -2.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.20%E -2.32%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-23 22:15
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.92%E -2.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.20%E -2.32%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-23 22:20
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.92%E -2.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-23 18:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.86%E -2.93%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.14%E -1.71%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-21 23:14
GTbets🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.86%E -2.93%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.14%E -1.71%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-21 21:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.86%E -2.93%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.14%E -1.71%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-22 08:34
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.86%E -2.93%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.14%E -1.71%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-22 00:44
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.86%E -2.93%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.14%E -1.71%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-21 23:33
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.86%E -2.93%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.67%E -2.01%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-23 19:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.86%E -2.93%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-23 19:35
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.86%E -2.93%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-21 23:14
Dabble (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.86%E -2.93%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-21 21:04
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.86%E -2.93%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-23 20:30
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.86%E -2.93%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-21 16:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.86%E -2.93%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-21 16:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.86%E -2.93%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-21 16:44
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.86%E -2.93%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-21 16:44
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.86%E -2.93%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-22 02:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.86%E -2.93%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.31%E -3.57%K -8.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-21 21:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.86%E -2.93%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-23 23:54
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.86%E -2.93%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-24 00:00
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.86%E -2.93%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-23 19:25
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.86%E -2.93%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-23 14:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.80%E -3.44%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-21 23:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.21%E -4.21%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.14%E -1.71%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-22 14:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -8.21%E -4.21%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -5.78%E -3.25%K -7.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-21 23:18
NetBet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -9.16%E -4.74%K -9.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-23 22:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 47.25%EV -14.33%E -7.88%K -17.48%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 52.75%EV -13.72%E -8.42%K -21.78%G +0.000%16.3%2026-09-23 22:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.15I 46.51%NM 47.04%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.96%-1.1%2026-09-23 23:00
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 47.01%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.99%-0.1%2026-09-23 20:50
ProphetX2.07I 48.31%NM 47.86%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.14%0.9%2026-09-24 00:10
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-09-23 09:19
Novig2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%1.2%2026-09-23 23:40
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%1.2%2026-09-23 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%1.5%2026-09-23 20:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%1.5%2026-09-23 20:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%1.5%2026-09-23 20:15
Smarkets1.94I 51.55%NM 47.43%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.57%8.7%2026-09-24 00:10