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Tampa Bay Buccaneers v Minnesota Vikings

2026-09-27 20:05 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Local)

Prediction 54.62%1.83fair odd
EV -1.69%
Edge -0.937%
Kelly -2.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.25%54.62%54.62%55.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.741.731.8059.17%57.47%57.80%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Minnesota Vikings (Visit)

Prediction 45.38%2.20fair odd
EV -2.43%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -2.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.01%45.38%45.38%46.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.102.102.1548.78%47.62%47.62%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Local): 54.62%; Minnesota Vikings (Visit): 45.38%. For Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.83. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.80, with an expected value of -1.69%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.69%E -0.937%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.97%E -3.40%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 11:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.51%E -3.19%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 20:30
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.70%E -4.55%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-15 20:58
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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