Tampa Bay Buccaneers v Minnesota Vikings

2026-09-27 20:05 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

55%

45%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Local)

Prediction 54.62%1.83fair odd

EV -1.69%

Edge -0.937%

Kelly -2.11%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

53.25%54.62%54.62%55.99%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.691.751.751.8059%57%57%56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Minnesota Vikings (Visit)

Prediction 45.38%2.20fair odd

EV -2.43%

Edge -1.13%

Kelly -2.11%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

44.01%45.38%45.38%46.75%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.052.102.102.1549%48%48%47%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.69%E -0.937%K -2.11%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.97%E -3.40%K -6.64%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-06 11:15
Caesars	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.70%E -4.55%K -11.15%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.11%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-05-15 20:58

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.