The School of Odds

Tampa Bay Buccaneers v Los Angeles Rams

2027-01-03 18:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Local)

Prediction 36.29%2.76fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -0.746%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.56%36.29%36.27%37.04%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.552.622.602.7039%38%38%37%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Los Angeles Rams (Visit)

Prediction 63.71%1.57fair odd
EV -4.44%
Edge -2.96%
Kelly -8.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.96%63.71%63.73%64.44%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.481.491.491.5068%67%67%67%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.01%E -0.746%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.07%E -3.40%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-21 08:39
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.64%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.71%E -3.86%K -11.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-21 08:44
Caesars2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.46%E -2.92%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.44%E -2.96%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-21 08:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.