Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers v Los Angeles Chargers

2026-12-06 18:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

46%

54%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Local)

Prediction 45.86%2.18fair odd

EV +0.890%

Edge +0.404%

Kelly +0.742%

Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

43.59%45.86%45.86%48.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.942.072.072.2051.55%48.31%48.31%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Chargers (Visit)

Prediction 54.14%1.85fair odd

EV -2.55%

Edge -1.41%

Kelly -3.18%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

51.87%54.14%54.14%56.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.701.751.751.8058.82%57.14%57.14%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Local): 45.86%; Los Angeles Chargers (Visit): 54.14%. For Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.18. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.20, producing a positive expected value of +0.890%.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV +0.890%E +0.404%K +0.742%G +0.007%	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -7.96%E -4.68%K -11.37%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-15 00:10
Caesars🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -11.03%E -5.69%K -11.74%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -2.55%E -1.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-29 04:28

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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