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Tampa Bay Buccaneers v Green Bay Packers

2026-10-04 17:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Local)

Prediction 48.76%2.05fair odd
EV -2.48%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -2.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.78%48.72%48.92%49.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.951.962.0055.87%51.25%51.02%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Green Bay Packers (Visit)

Prediction 51.24%1.95fair odd
EV -3.16%
Edge -1.67%
Kelly -3.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.91%51.28%51.08%52.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.831.831.8960.24%54.53%54.64%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Local): 48.76%; Green Bay Packers (Visit): 51.24%. For Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.05. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.00, with an expected value of -2.48%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.48%E -1.24%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.23%E -3.41%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-23 12:15
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.48%E -1.24%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.23%E -3.41%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-23 12:14
DraftKings🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.45%E -1.74%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.21%E -2.81%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-22 19:45
Unibet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -3.45%E -1.74%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -5.72%E -3.11%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-22 23:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.94%E -2.00%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.23%E -3.41%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-22 23:04
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.94%E -2.00%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.23%E -3.41%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-22 23:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.94%E -2.00%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.23%E -3.41%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-22 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.94%E -2.00%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.23%E -3.41%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-22 23:05
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.94%E -2.00%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.23%E -3.41%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-22 23:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.94%E -2.00%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.23%E -3.41%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-22 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.94%E -2.00%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.23%E -3.41%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-22 23:05
Bally Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.94%E -2.00%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.23%E -3.41%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-22 23:10
FanDuel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -4.43%E -2.26%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.16%E -1.67%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-22 19:45
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -4.43%E -2.26%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -3.67%E -1.95%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-22 19:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.43%E -2.26%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.21%E -2.81%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-23 19:29
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.92%E -2.52%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.18%E -2.24%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-22 19:45
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.92%E -2.52%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.69%E -2.52%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-22 19:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.92%E -2.52%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.21%E -2.81%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-22 19:45
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.92%E -2.52%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.21%E -2.81%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-22 20:35
Dabble (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -4.92%E -2.52%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.74%E -3.71%K -8.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-22 20:35
Caesars🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.41%E -2.79%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.69%E -2.52%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-22 22:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.89%E -3.05%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.21%E -2.81%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-22 23:19
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.87%E -3.60%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.23%E -3.41%K -7.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-22 19:44
LeoVegas🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.87%E -3.60%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.77%E -4.32%K -9.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-23 19:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.92%EV -7.36%E -3.87%K -8.17%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.08%EV -6.74%E -3.71%K -8.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-22 19:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 48.12%EV -12.72%E -7.11%K -16.10%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 51.88%EV -14.94%E -9.00%K -22.64%G +0.000%16.1%2026-09-22 23:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-09-23 20:25
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.1%2026-09-23 19:35
Polymarket◎1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%3.9%2026-09-23 18:23
Smarkets◎1.89I 52.91%NM 48.92%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.08%8.2%2026-09-22 19:45