Tampa Bay Buccaneers v Green Bay Packers

2026-10-04 17:00 — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Local)

Odds

1.9152.36%Min

1.9850.51%Mean

1.9850.51%Median

2.0548.78%Max

Consensus probabilities

46.75%2.139Min

48.93%2.044Max

47.84%2.090Mean

47.84%2.090Median

47.84%2.090IQM

47.62%2.100Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.05 under the IQM model: 47.84%

EV -1.92%Edge -0.939%Kelly -1.83%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Green Bay Packers (Visit)

Odds

1.8055.56%Min

1.8155.10%Mean

1.8155.10%Median

1.8354.64%Max

Consensus probabilities

51.07%1.958Min

53.25%1.878Max

52.16%1.917Mean

52.16%1.917Median

52.16%1.917IQM

52.38%1.909Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.83 under the IQM model: 52.16%

EV -4.55%Edge -2.49%Kelly -5.48%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Local) ▼	Green Bay Packers (Visit)	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	2.05I 48.78% NM 46.75%EV -1.92% E -0.939% K -1.83% G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56% NM 53.25%EV -6.12% E -3.40% K -7.64% G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-05-15 02:50
Bet Right	2.00I 50.00% NM 47.78%EV -4.32% E -2.16% K -4.32% G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64% NM 52.22%EV -4.55% E -2.49% K -5.48% G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-05-26 02:11
Caesars	1.91I 52.36% NM 48.93%EV -8.62% E -4.51% K -9.47% G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64% NM 51.07%EV -4.55% E -2.49% K -5.48% G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-15 22:14

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth