Tampa Bay Buccaneers v Atlanta Falcons

2026-11-01 18:00 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

66%

34%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Local)

Prediction 66.16%1.51fair odd

EV -4.07%

Edge -2.81%

Kelly -9.05%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

65.88%66.16%66.16%66.43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.441.441.441.4569%69%69%69%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Atlanta Falcons (Visit)

Prediction 33.84%2.95fair odd

EV -3.55%

Edge -1.25%

Kelly -1.92%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

33.57%33.84%33.84%34.12%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.802.832.832.8536%35%35%35%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Caesars	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.07%E -2.81%K -9.05%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.24%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-06-22 22:48
DraftKings	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.73%E -3.29%K -10.76%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.55%E -1.25%K -1.92%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-06-30 09:49

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.