Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Seahawks v San Francisco 49ers

2026-10-11 20:25 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

65%

35%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Seahawks (Local)

Prediction 64.54%1.55fair odd

EV -3.84%

Edge -2.58%

Kelly -7.84%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

64.16%64.54%64.54%64.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.451.471.481.4968.97%67.87%67.57%67.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Francisco 49ers (Visit)

Prediction 35.46%2.82fair odd

EV -4.25%

Edge -1.57%

Kelly -2.50%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

35.37%35.46%35.46%35.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.652.672.652.7037.74%37.50%37.74%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Seattle Seahawks (Local): 64.54%; San Francisco 49ers (Visit): 35.46%. For Seattle Seahawks (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.55. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.49, with an expected value of -3.84%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.84%E -2.58%K -7.84%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.25%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-08-31 03:19
Betr (AU)🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.02%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-31 03:25
Caesars🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.42%E -4.43%K -14.27%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.02%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-05-15 22:14

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Polymarket◎	1.05I 95.24%NM 63.41%	1.82I 54.95%NM 36.59%	50.2%	2026-09-04 00:05