Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Seahawks v San Francisco 49ers

2026-10-11 20:25 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Seahawks (Local)

Prediction 63.87%1.57fair odd
EV -2.92%
Edge -1.92%
Kelly -5.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.11%63.87%63.87%64.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.481.481.5268.97%67.42%67.57%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Francisco 49ers (Visit)

Prediction 36.13%2.77fair odd
EV -4.26%
Edge -1.61%
Kelly -2.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.37%36.13%36.13%36.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.632.652.6538.46%37.97%37.74%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Seattle Seahawks (Local): 63.87%; San Francisco 49ers (Visit): 36.13%. For Seattle Seahawks (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.57. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.52, with an expected value of -2.92%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.92%E -1.92%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 21:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.47%E -3.70%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.26%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 21:55
Caesars🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.39%E -5.10%K -16.42%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.26%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-15 22:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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