The School of Odds

Seattle Seahawks v San Francisco 49ers

2026-10-11 20:25 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Seattle Seahawks (Local)

Prediction 64.54%1.55fair odd
EV -3.84%
Edge -2.58%
Kelly -7.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.44%64.54%64.54%64.63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.451.471.471.4969%68%68%67%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

San Francisco 49ers (Visit)

Prediction 35.46%2.82fair odd
EV -4.25%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -2.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.37%35.46%35.46%35.56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.652.672.672.7038%37%37%37%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.84%E -2.58%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.25%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-24 20:50
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.42%E -4.43%K -14.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.02%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-15 22:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.