Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Seahawks v San Francisco 49ers

Kickoff: 2026-10-11 20:25 UTC

Final: Seattle Seahawks 29–32 San Francisco 49ers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Seahawks (Local)

Prediction 59.01%1.69fair odd
EV -0.266%
Edge -0.157%
Kelly -0.385%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.25%58.77%59.21%60.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.621.621.6964.52%61.72%61.73%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Francisco 49ers (Visit)

Prediction 40.99%2.44fair odd
EV +0.825%
Edge +0.335%
Kelly +0.565%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 2.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.55%41.23%40.79%43.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.122.302.302.4647.17%43.41%43.48%40.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Seahawks (Local): 59.01%; San Francisco 49ers (Visit): 40.99%. For San Francisco 49ers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.44. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.46, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.825%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -3.81%E -2.34%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV +0.825%E +0.335%K +0.565%G +0.005%2.0%2026-10-11 20:24
MyBookie.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -5.58%E -3.49%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -0.815%E -0.337%K -0.574%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-11 20:03
GTbets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.99%E -3.10%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.63%E -0.681%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-11 20:24
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.99%E -3.10%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.63%E -0.681%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-11 20:14
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.99%E -3.10%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.63%E -0.681%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-11 20:00
DraftKings🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.58%E -3.49%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.63%E -0.681%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-11 10:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.63%E -0.681%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 20:24
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.63%E -0.681%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 20:24
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.45%EV -3.81%E -2.34%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.55%EV -2.04%E -0.855%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-11 20:20
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.60%EV -4.40%E -2.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.40%EV -2.04%E -0.855%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-11 20:15
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.40%E -2.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.45%E -1.03%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-11 20:25
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.99%E -3.10%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -2.45%E -1.03%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-11 19:49
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.58%E -3.49%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.45%E -1.03%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-11 19:50
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.76%E -4.28%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -2.45%E -1.03%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 20:25
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.45%E -1.03%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-11 09:20
SportsBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -6.17%E -3.88%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -3.27%E -1.39%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 19:55
Betsson🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -6.17%E -3.88%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -3.27%E -1.39%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 20:09
Codere (IT)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -3.27%E -1.39%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-11 19:59
BetAnything🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.63%E -1.59%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.68%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-11 20:19
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.63%E -1.59%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.68%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-11 20:13
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.40%E -2.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.68%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-11 19:35
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.40%E -2.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.68%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-11 20:24
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.58%E -3.49%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.68%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-11 19:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -2.04%E -1.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -4.91%E -2.12%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-11 20:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -2.04%E -1.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -4.91%E -2.12%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-11 20:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.63%E -1.59%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.73%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-11 20:25
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.63%E -1.59%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.73%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-11 20:25
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.63%E -1.59%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.73%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-11 20:25
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.63%E -1.59%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.73%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-11 20:20
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.40%E -2.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.73%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 20:19
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.58%E -3.49%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.73%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-11 20:20
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.73%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-11 20:25
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.53%E -5.50%K -15.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.73%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-11 20:25
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.53%E -5.50%K -15.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.73%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-11 20:24
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.81%E -2.34%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.55%E -2.87%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 20:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.42%EV -8.53%E -5.50%K -15.50%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.58%EV -6.96%E -3.07%K -5.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-11 20:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -0.266%E -0.157%K -0.385%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-11 20:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -1.45%E -0.866%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-11 20:24
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.63%E -1.59%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-11 20:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.63%E -1.59%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-11 20:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.22%E -1.96%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 20:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.22%E -1.96%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 20:24
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.22%E -1.96%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 20:24
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.22%E -1.96%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 20:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.22%E -1.96%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 20:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.22%E -1.96%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 20:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.22%E -1.96%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 20:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.40%E -2.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 13:53
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -8.53%E -5.50%K -15.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-11 19:59
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -3.22%E -1.96%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -8.60%E -3.86%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-11 20:24
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.45%E -0.866%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.83%E -4.47%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 20:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.45%E -0.866%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.83%E -4.47%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 20:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.45%E -0.866%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.83%E -4.47%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 20:24
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.63%E -1.59%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.83%E -4.47%K -8.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-11 20:25
Bally Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.40%E -2.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.83%E -4.47%K -8.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-11 20:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -5.58%E -3.49%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -11.06%E -5.10%K -9.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-11 20:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -0.856%E -0.509%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -11.47%E -5.31%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-11 20:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.61%EV -7.94%E -5.09%K -14.17%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.39%EV -13.11%E -6.18%K -11.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-11 20:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26%0.1%2026-10-11 20:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26%0.1%2026-10-11 20:25
Matchbook◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-10-11 20:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-10-11 20:25
Novig◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.78%2.41I 41.49%NM 41.22%0.7%2026-10-11 20:25
Polymarket◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-10-11 20:15
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-10-11 20:20
ProphetX◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-10-11 20:25
BetOpenly◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%1.7%2026-10-11 20:24
Smarkets◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-10-11 20:25