Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.33
assuming max odds 4.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Seahawks (Local): 73.86%; Los Angeles Chargers (Visit): 26.14%. For Los Angeles Chargers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.83. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.54%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.67%E -6.14%K -30.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +4.54%E +1.14%K +1.51%G +0.069% | 5.0% | 2026-10-01 03:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -6.19%E -4.88%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV +2.45%E +0.626%K +0.840%G +0.021% | 4.3% | 2026-10-04 19:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -5.45%E -4.26%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV +1.93%E +0.495%K +0.666%G +0.013% | 3.8% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.93%E -5.50%K -26.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +1.93%E +0.495%K +0.666%G +0.013% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -0.683%E -0.180%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-04 20:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.19%E -4.88%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -0.683%E -0.180%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.19%E -4.88%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -0.683%E -0.180%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.67%E -6.14%K -30.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -0.683%E -0.180%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-29 06:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -3.24%E -2.47%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -1.99%E -0.531%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.99%E -0.531%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-04 20:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.99%E -0.531%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-30 12:07 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.67%E -6.14%K -30.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.99%E -0.531%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71%EV -2.50%E -1.89%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%EV -3.30%E -0.891%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-10-04 20:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -3.24%E -2.47%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -3.30%E -0.891%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.98%E -3.06%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -3.30%E -0.891%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-04 19:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.98%E -3.06%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -3.30%E -0.891%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.98%E -3.06%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -3.30%E -0.891%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.98%E -3.06%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -3.30%E -0.891%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.30%E -0.891%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 18:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.30%E -0.891%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 19:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.30%E -0.891%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.30%E -0.891%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 20:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.45%E -4.26%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.30%E -0.891%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.45%E -4.26%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.30%E -0.891%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.45%E -4.26%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.30%E -0.891%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.29%EV -6.19%E -4.88%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.71%EV -4.08%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -3.98%E -3.06%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-04 19:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-04 19:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.45%E -4.26%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-29 16:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.19%E -4.88%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -6.93%E -5.50%K -26.66%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.24%E -2.47%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-04 20:18 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.98%E -3.06%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.98%E -3.06%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 19:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 19:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 19:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 19:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.45%E -4.26%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.22%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-04 19:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -2.50%E -1.89%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -2.50%E -1.89%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-04 19:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.98%E -3.06%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-04 19:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.45%E -4.26%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.67%E -6.14%K -30.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.67%E -6.14%K -30.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.98%E -3.06%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.56%EV -8.41%E -6.78%K -35.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -1.76%E -1.32%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.50%E -1.89%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 20:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.50%E -1.89%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.50%E -1.89%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.50%E -1.89%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.50%E -1.89%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.98%E -3.06%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-04 20:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -6.19%E -4.88%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-04 20:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.50%E -1.89%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -12.44%E -3.71%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.98%E -3.06%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -5.45%E -4.26%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.43%EV -6.93%E -5.50%K -26.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -17.67%E -5.61%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-10-04 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.67% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 25.33% | 0.7% | 2026-10-04 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-10-04 20:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29% | 1.4% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.70% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 24.30% | 1.6% | 2026-10-04 20:24 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.61% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39% | 2.3% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.61% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39% | 2.3% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |