The School of Odds

Seattle Seahawks v Los Angeles Chargers

2026-10-04 20:25 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Seattle Seahawks (Local)

Prediction 60.48%1.65fair odd
EV -3.84%
Edge -2.42%
Kelly -6.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.35%60.48%60.48%60.61%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.561.581.581.5964%63%63%63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Los Angeles Chargers (Visit)

Prediction 39.52%2.53fair odd
EV -4.36%
Edge -1.80%
Kelly -3.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.39%39.52%39.52%39.65%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.402.412.412.4242%41%41%41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -3.84%E -2.42%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -4.36%E -1.80%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-23 21:20
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.65%E -3.62%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.15%E -2.14%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-15 22:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.