The School of Odds

Seattle Seahawks v Kansas City Chiefs

2026-10-26 00:20 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Seattle Seahawks (Local)

Prediction 59.47%1.68fair odd
EV -3.66%
Edge -2.26%
Kelly -5.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.30%59.47%59.47%59.64%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.591.601.601.6263%62%62%62%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Kansas City Chiefs (Visit)

Prediction 40.53%2.47fair odd
EV -4.35%
Edge -1.84%
Kelly -3.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.36%40.53%40.53%40.70%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.352.352.352.3643%42%42%42%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.66%E -2.26%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.35%E -1.84%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 09:54
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.44%E -3.42%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.76%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 22:37
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.