The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Seattle Seahawks v Kansas City Chiefs

Kickoff: 2026-10-26 00:22 UTC

Final: Seattle Seahawks 20–3 Kansas City Chiefs

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Seahawks (Local)

Prediction 58.88%1.70fair odd
EV -1.08%
Edge -0.644%
Kelly -1.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.28%58.73%58.97%60.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.631.631.6867.57%61.53%61.35%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kansas City Chiefs (Visit)

Prediction 41.12%2.43fair odd
EV +1.98%
Edge +0.798%
Kelly +1.34%
Growth +0.026%

assuming max odds 2.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.51%41.27%41.03%43.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.082.312.302.4848.08%43.37%43.48%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Seahawks (Local): 58.88%; Kansas City Chiefs (Visit): 41.12%. For Kansas City Chiefs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.43. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.48, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.98%.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV +1.98%E +0.798%K +1.34%G +0.026%2.1%2026-10-26 00:05
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -5.79%E -3.62%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -0.488%E -0.202%K -0.344%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-26 00:21
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -3.44%E -2.10%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -0.899%E -0.373%K -0.638%G +0.000%2.5%2026-10-26 00:21
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.31%E -0.546%K -0.936%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-26 00:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.31%E -0.546%K -0.936%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-25 23:40
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.13%E -0.896%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-26 00:00
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -5.20%E -3.23%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -2.13%E -0.896%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-26 00:21
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.79%E -3.62%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.13%E -0.896%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-25 23:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.79%E -3.62%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.13%E -0.896%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-25 23:35
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.96%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-25 23:41
Unibet (NL)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -2.26%E -1.36%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -3.37%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-25 22:38
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -2.26%E -1.36%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -3.37%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-25 22:38
ATG (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -2.26%E -1.36%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -3.37%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-25 22:38
Svenska Spel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -2.26%E -1.36%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -3.37%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-25 22:38
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.85%E -1.73%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.37%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-26 00:13
Caesars🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.37%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-25 23:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.37%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-26 00:21
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.37%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-25 23:34
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.37%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-26 00:19
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.79%E -3.62%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.37%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 00:21
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.79%E -3.62%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.37%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 00:00
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.79%E -3.62%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.37%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 00:21
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.79%E -3.62%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.37%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 00:21
MyBookie.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.79%EV -3.44%E -2.10%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.21%EV -3.78%E -1.61%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-26 00:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%EV -2.85%E -1.73%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV -4.60%E -1.98%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-25 22:38
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.44%E -2.10%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.60%E -1.98%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-25 22:38
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.44%E -2.10%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.60%E -1.98%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-25 22:38
Bally Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.44%E -2.10%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.60%E -1.98%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-25 22:38
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.44%E -2.10%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.60%E -1.98%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-25 22:38
ReBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -1.08%E -0.644%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-26 00:10
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.67%E -1.00%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-26 00:00
BetAnything🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.67%E -1.00%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-26 00:21
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.85%E -1.73%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-25 23:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.44%E -2.10%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-26 00:21
Dabble (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.44%E -2.10%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-25 23:36
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.44%E -2.10%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-26 00:21
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.44%E -2.10%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-26 00:21
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-25 23:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 00:21
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.20%E -3.23%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 00:21
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.20%E -3.23%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 00:21
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.56%E -4.81%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-26 00:21
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.56%E -4.81%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-26 00:05
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -1.67%E -1.00%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-25 22:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.85%E -1.73%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 00:10
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.20%E -3.23%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-26 00:21
picklebet_au🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.79%E -3.62%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-26 00:21
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.38%E -4.01%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-26 00:21
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.56%E -4.81%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-26 00:21
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -8.74%E -5.64%K -15.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-26 00:21
Betclic (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -9.91%E -6.48%K -18.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-26 00:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%EV -3.44%E -2.10%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV -8.71%E -3.92%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-26 00:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.58%EV -7.56%E -4.81%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.42%EV -8.71%E -3.92%K -7.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-25 23:41
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -1.08%E -0.644%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-25 23:59
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.67%E -1.00%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 22:38
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.67%E -1.00%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 22:38
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.67%E -1.00%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 22:38
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.67%E -1.00%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 22:37
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -1.67%E -1.00%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -11.59%E -5.39%K -10.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-20 21:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 58.43%EV -12.86%E -8.69%K -26.79%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 41.57%EV -14.47%E -6.96%K -13.40%G +0.000%15.6%2026-10-25 22:38
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-10-26 00:21
Matchbook◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-10-26 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-10-25 23:41
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-10-26 00:06
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-10-26 00:06
Novig◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.78%2.41I 41.49%NM 41.22%0.7%2026-10-26 00:21
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-10-24 02:10
Polymarket◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-10-23 23:00
BetOpenly◎1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%3.4%2026-10-26 00:19
Smarkets◎1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%4.9%2026-10-26 00:10