The School of Odds

Seattle Seahawks v Chicago Bears

2026-11-03 01:20 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Seattle Seahawks (Local)

Prediction 66.69%1.50fair odd
EV -2.63%
Edge -1.80%
Kelly -5.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.73%66.69%66.69%67.66%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.411.441.441.4671%70%70%68%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Chicago Bears (Visit)

Prediction 33.31%3.00fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -0.592%
Kelly -0.896%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.34%33.31%33.31%34.27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.802.882.882.9536%35%35%34%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -2.63%E -1.80%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-15 00:35
Caesars1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.96%E -4.23%K -14.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -1.75%E -0.592%K -0.896%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 22:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.