The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Seattle Seahawks v Chicago Bears

Kickoff: 2026-11-03 01:16 UTC

Final: Seattle Seahawks 17–34 Chicago Bears

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Seahawks (Local)

Prediction 61.13%1.64fair odd
EV -2.19%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -3.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.95%61.23%61.07%63.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.551.561.6070.92%64.61%64.10%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Bears (Visit)

Prediction 38.87%2.57fair odd
EV +1.83%
Edge +0.698%
Kelly +1.13%
Growth +0.021%

assuming max odds 2.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.41%38.77%38.93%40.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.462.482.6245.45%40.63%40.32%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Seahawks (Local): 61.13%; Chicago Bears (Visit): 38.87%. For Chicago Bears (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.57. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.62, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.83%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.60%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV +1.83%E +0.698%K +1.13%G +0.021%4.8%2026-11-03 01:15
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +1.05%E +0.404%K +0.657%G +0.007%5.1%2026-11-03 01:15
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -3.41%E -2.16%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV +0.274%E +0.106%K +0.174%G +0.000%2.1%2026-11-03 01:15
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -4.02%E -2.56%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -0.114%E -0.044%K -0.073%G +0.000%2.6%2026-11-03 01:10
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.63%E -2.97%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -0.892%E -0.350%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.3%2026-11-03 00:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -7.08%E -4.66%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -0.892%E -0.350%K -0.575%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-03 01:15
Neds🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -7.08%E -4.66%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -0.892%E -0.350%K -0.575%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-03 01:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -4.02%E -2.56%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -1.67%E -0.660%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.2%2026-11-02 04:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -4.02%E -2.56%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -1.67%E -0.660%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.2%2026-11-03 00:50
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -4.63%E -2.97%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -2.06%E -0.817%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-03 01:15
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -6.46%E -4.23%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -2.45%E -0.975%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-03 01:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.02%E -2.56%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.83%E -1.13%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-02 17:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.02%E -2.56%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.83%E -1.13%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-02 17:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.02%E -2.56%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.83%E -1.13%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-02 17:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.02%E -2.56%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.83%E -1.13%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-02 17:24
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.02%E -2.56%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.83%E -1.13%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-03 00:50
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.02%E -2.56%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.83%E -1.13%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-02 08:40
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.63%E -2.97%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.83%E -1.13%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-02 14:45
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.63%E -2.97%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.83%E -1.13%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-02 22:58
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -2.83%E -1.13%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-03 01:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.85%E -3.80%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.83%E -1.13%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-03 01:14
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.46%E -4.23%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.83%E -1.13%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-02 08:38
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.46%E -4.23%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.83%E -1.13%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-26 05:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.46%E -4.23%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.83%E -1.13%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-26 05:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.46%E -4.23%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.83%E -1.13%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-26 05:25
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.46%E -4.23%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.83%E -1.13%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-03 01:05
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.46%E -4.23%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.83%E -1.13%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-26 05:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.46%E -4.23%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.83%E -1.13%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-02 08:40
Bovada🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.08%EV -3.41%E -2.16%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.92%EV -3.61%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.6%2026-11-03 01:11
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.02%E -2.56%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.61%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-02 17:24
MyBookie.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.02%E -2.56%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.61%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-02 22:49
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.80%E -1.76%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.78%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-03 01:15
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.02%E -2.56%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.78%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-02 17:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.02%E -2.56%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.78%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-03 00:50
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.63%E -2.97%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.78%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-02 17:24
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.63%E -2.97%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.78%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-02 17:25
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.63%E -2.97%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.78%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-02 17:25
betfred_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.78%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-03 01:14
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.78%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-02 22:20
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.78%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-03 01:15
Betsson🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -4.63%E -2.97%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -5.17%E -2.12%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-03 01:15
NordicBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.63%E -2.97%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.56%E -2.29%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-03 01:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -5.94%E -2.46%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-02 19:30
DraftKings🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.19%E -1.37%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.72%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-03 00:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.41%E -2.16%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.72%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-03 01:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.02%E -2.56%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.72%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-03 01:14
Bet Right🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.02%E -2.56%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.72%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-03 00:50
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.63%E -2.97%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.72%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-03 00:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.72%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-26 05:25
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.46%E -4.23%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.72%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-03 01:15
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -7.50%E -3.15%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-03 01:14
picklebet_au🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.02%E -2.56%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.66%E -3.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-03 01:15
ReBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.02%E -2.56%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.66%E -3.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-03 01:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.08%E -4.66%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.66%E -3.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-03 01:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.21%EV -10.13%E -6.89%K -21.56%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.79%EV -9.83%E -4.24%K -7.45%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-02 19:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.61%E -4.61%K -8.16%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-03 01:15
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.61%E -4.61%K -8.16%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-03 01:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 60.94%EV -13.80%E -9.79%K -33.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.06%EV -14.49%E -6.59%K -12.08%G +0.000%16.4%2026-11-02 17:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-11-03 01:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-11-03 01:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-11-03 01:10
Matchbook◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-11-03 01:15
Smarkets◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%1.1%2026-11-03 01:15
Kalshi◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-11-03 01:05
Novig◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-11-03 01:15
Polymarket◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-11-02 18:15
ProphetX◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.3%2026-11-03 01:15
BetOpenly◎1.58I 63.29%NM 61.56%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.44%2.8%2026-11-03 00:35