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San Francisco 49ers v Philadelphia Eagles

2027-01-04 01:20 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Francisco 49ers (Local)

Prediction 57.41%1.74fair odd
EV +3.34%
Edge +1.86%
Kelly +4.18%
Growth +0.140%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.25%57.41%57.41%61.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.681.681.8064.10%59.52%59.52%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Philadelphia Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 42.59%2.35fair odd
EV +6.47%
Edge +2.59%
Kelly +4.31%
Growth +0.279%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.42%42.59%42.59%46.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.272.272.5048.78%43.96%43.96%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: San Francisco 49ers (Local): 57.41%; Philadelphia Eagles (Visit): 42.59%. For Philadelphia Eagles (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.35. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.50, producing a positive expected value of +6.47%.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -10.44%E -6.69%K -18.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +6.47%E +2.59%K +4.31%G +0.279%4.1%2026-07-21 08:35
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV +3.34%E +1.86%K +4.18%G +0.140%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -12.69%E -6.19%K -12.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 08:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Arbitrage (1 combination) +4.65%DraftKings 1.80 (58.1%) / Caesars 2.50 (41.9%)Show details
San Francisco 49ers (Local)Philadelphia Eagles (Visit)Margin
DraftKings🎯 1.80 (58.1%)Caesars🎯 2.50 (41.9%)+4.65%

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