The School of Odds

San Francisco 49ers v Minnesota Vikings

2026-11-23 01:20 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

San Francisco 49ers (Local)

Prediction 64.52%1.55fair odd
EV -1.93%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -3.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.11%64.57%64.44%66.28%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.441.471.461.5269%68%68%66%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Minnesota Vikings (Visit)

Prediction 35.48%2.82fair odd
EV +1.11%
Edge +0.390%
Kelly +0.601%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.72%35.43%35.56%36.89%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.602.712.732.8538%37%37%35%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -6.44%E -4.44%K -14.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV +1.11%E +0.390%K +0.601%G +0.007%4.1%2026-05-14 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.09%E -4.92%K -16.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.662%E -0.236%K -0.368%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 16:20
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.09%E -4.92%K -16.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.662%E -0.236%K -0.368%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 16:21
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -4.51%E -3.05%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -2.08%E -0.754%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-30 09:59
SportsBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.80%E -3.97%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -2.44%E -0.886%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 09:59
Neds1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.80%E -3.97%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -2.44%E -0.886%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-14 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.80%E -3.97%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -2.44%E -0.886%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-14 16:15
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.09%E -4.92%K -16.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.44%E -0.886%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 17:20
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.22%E -2.14%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.21%E -1.56%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 09:59
Caesars1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.86%E -2.59%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.21%E -1.56%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-13 15:49
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.51%E -3.05%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.21%E -1.56%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 09:59
ReBet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.51%EV -4.51%E -3.05%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.49%EV -4.56%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 01:20
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.22%E -2.14%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.05%E -2.69%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 09:59
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -1.93%E -1.27%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -7.76%E -2.98%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 01:20
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.44%E -4.44%K -14.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.76%E -2.98%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 09:59
LeoVegas1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.44%E -4.44%K -14.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.76%E -2.98%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-21 01:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.44I 69.44%NM 64.18%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%8.2%2026-06-30 09:59