The School of Odds

San Francisco 49ers v Los Angeles Rams

2026-12-13 21:25 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

San Francisco 49ers (Local)

Prediction 43.37%2.31fair odd
EV -4.58%
Edge -2.08%
Kelly -3.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%43.37%43.37%43.59%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.202.202.202.2045%45%45%45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Los Angeles Rams (Visit)

Prediction 56.63%1.77fair odd
EV -3.73%
Edge -2.19%
Kelly -5.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.41%56.63%56.63%56.85%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.671.691.691.7060%59%59%59%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.58%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.73%E -2.19%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-22 22:39
Caesars2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.58%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 22:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.