The School of Odds

San Francisco 49ers v Las Vegas Raiders

2026-11-08 21:05 — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: San Francisco 49ers (Local)

1.2281.97%Min
1.2381.63%Mean
1.2381.63%Median
1.2381.30%Max
77.49%1.290Min
78.15%1.280Max
77.82%1.285Mean
77.82%1.285Median
77.82%1.285IQM
77.87%1.284Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.23 under the IQM model: 77.82%

EV -4.28%Edge -3.48%Kelly -18.61%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Las Vegas Raiders (Visit)

4.2023.81%Min
4.3023.26%Mean
4.3023.26%Median
4.4022.73%Max
21.85%4.577Min
22.51%4.443Max
22.18%4.509Mean
22.18%4.509Median
22.18%4.509IQM
22.13%4.519Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.40 under the IQM model: 22.18%

EV -2.42%Edge -0.549%Kelly -0.711%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerSan Francisco 49ers (Local) ▼Las Vegas Raiders (Visit)MarginUpdated
DraftKings1.23I 81.30% NM 78.15%EV -4.28% E -3.48% K -18.61% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 21.85%EV -2.42% E -0.549% K -0.711% G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-22 22:39
Caesars1.22I 81.97% NM 77.49%EV -5.06% E -4.15% K -22.99% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 22.51%EV -6.85% E -1.63% K -2.14% G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 22:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth