Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pittsburgh Steelers v Denver Broncos

2026-11-27 20:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pittsburgh Steelers (Local)

Prediction 47.20%2.12fair odd
EV +0.061%
Edge +0.029%
Kelly +0.055%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.17%47.18%47.20%48.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.052.082.1251.28%48.70%48.19%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Denver Broncos (Visit)

Prediction 52.80%1.89fair odd
EV -1.26%
Edge -0.675%
Kelly -1.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.05%52.82%52.80%54.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.791.781.8757.80%55.97%56.18%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Pittsburgh Steelers (Local): 47.20%; Denver Broncos (Visit): 52.80%. For Pittsburgh Steelers (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.119. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.120, producing a positive expected value of +0.061%.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV +0.061%E +0.029%K +0.055%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -7.07%E -4.02%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 02:10
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -0.883%E -0.420%K -0.803%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -8.13%E -4.67%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 19:03
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.883%E -0.420%K -0.803%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.65%E -5.00%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 02:08
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.24%E -1.58%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.96%E -2.75%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-20 23:34
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.60%E -2.80%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.90%E -2.14%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 13:18
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.96%E -4.08%K -8.38%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.26%E -0.675%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 09:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.