The School of Odds

Pittsburgh Steelers v Denver Broncos

2026-11-27 20:00 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Pittsburgh Steelers (Local)

Prediction 47.96%2.09fair odd
EV -1.68%
Edge -0.821%
Kelly -1.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.75%47.92%47.78%48.95%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.942.002.002.0552%50%50%49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Denver Broncos (Visit)

Prediction 52.04%1.92fair odd
EV -2.68%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -3.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.05%52.08%52.22%53.25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.801.831.831.8756%55%55%53%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.68%E -0.821%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.33%E -3.51%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-20 23:34
FanDuel2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.16%E -1.06%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -5.29%E -2.90%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 09:59
SportsBet2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -2.16%E -1.06%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -5.81%E -3.21%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 09:59
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.08%E -2.04%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.77%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 09:59
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.08%E -2.04%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.77%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 09:58
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.08%E -2.04%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.77%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 09:59
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.08%E -2.04%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.33%E -3.51%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 23:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.04%E -2.55%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.77%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 09:59
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.04%E -2.55%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.77%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 09:59
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.48%E -3.32%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.68%E -1.44%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 09:59
Caesars1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -6.96%E -3.59%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -3.20%E -1.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 09:58
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.