The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Pittsburgh Steelers v Cleveland Browns

Kickoff: 2026-11-01 18:02 UTC

Final: Pittsburgh Steelers 27–6 Cleveland Browns

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pittsburgh Steelers (Local)

Prediction 64.75%1.54fair odd
EV -0.279%
Edge -0.181%
Kelly -0.516%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.95%64.72%64.82%66.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.481.481.5473.53%67.77%67.57%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cleveland Browns (Visit)

Prediction 35.25%2.84fair odd
EV +0.451%
Edge +0.158%
Kelly +0.244%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.65%35.28%35.18%37.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.332.692.702.8542.92%37.17%37.04%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pittsburgh Steelers (Local): 64.75%; Cleveland Browns (Visit): 35.25%. For Cleveland Browns (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.84. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.451%.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 65.52%EV -2.87%E -1.91%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.48%EV +0.451%E +0.158%K +0.244%G +0.001%1.8%2026-11-01 17:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -6.11%E -4.21%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV +0.451%E +0.158%K +0.244%G +0.001%4.1%2026-11-01 17:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -4.16%E -2.81%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -1.31%E -0.468%K -0.729%G +0.000%3.3%2026-11-01 17:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -4.16%E -2.81%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -1.31%E -0.468%K -0.729%G +0.000%3.3%2026-11-01 17:15
BetUS🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -4.16%E -2.81%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -1.31%E -0.468%K -0.729%G +0.000%3.3%2026-11-01 17:14
FanDuel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -4.81%E -3.27%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -1.31%E -0.468%K -0.729%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-01 17:55
Everygame🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.11%E -4.21%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.31%E -0.468%K -0.729%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-01 17:42
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -8.05%E -5.67%K -19.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.31%E -0.468%K -0.729%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-01 17:05
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 65.03%EV -2.87%E -1.91%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.97%EV -1.66%E -0.596%K -0.930%G +0.000%2.5%2026-11-01 17:55
ReBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.95%EV -2.87%E -1.91%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.05%EV -2.02%E -0.725%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.6%2026-11-01 17:20
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.64%EV -6.11%E -4.21%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.36%EV -2.37%E -0.855%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-01 17:55
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.87%E -1.91%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -3.07%E -1.12%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.0%2026-11-01 17:09
GTbets🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.16%E -2.81%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.07%E -1.12%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-11-01 17:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.16%E -2.81%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.07%E -1.12%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-11-01 17:55
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.16%E -2.81%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.07%E -1.12%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-11-01 17:55
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.16%E -2.81%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.07%E -1.12%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-11-01 17:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.16%E -2.81%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.07%E -1.12%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-11-01 17:19
theScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.16%E -2.81%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.07%E -1.12%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-11-01 17:55
BetAnything🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.16%E -2.81%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.07%E -1.12%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-11-01 17:05
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.16%E -2.81%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.07%E -1.12%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-11-01 17:59
Fanatics🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.81%E -3.27%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.07%E -1.12%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-01 17:20
Paddy Power🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.11%E -4.21%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.07%E -1.12%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-01 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.11%E -4.21%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.07%E -1.12%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-01 17:55
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.75%E -4.69%K -15.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.07%E -1.12%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-01 17:24
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.75%E -4.69%K -15.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.07%E -1.12%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-01 17:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.75%E -4.69%K -15.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.07%E -1.12%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-01 17:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.75%E -4.69%K -15.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.07%E -1.12%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-01 17:20
Caesars🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.85%EV -4.16%E -2.81%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.15%EV -3.78%E -1.38%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-01 17:25
Dabble (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.16%E -2.81%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.84%E -1.79%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-01 17:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.81%E -3.27%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.84%E -1.79%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-01 17:15
Fliff🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.75%E -4.69%K -15.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.84%E -1.79%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 17:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.87%E -1.91%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.60%E -2.49%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-01 18:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.87%E -1.91%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.60%E -2.49%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-01 17:00
betfred_uk🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.16%E -2.81%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.60%E -2.49%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-01 16:50
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.16%E -2.81%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.60%E -2.49%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-01 18:00
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.16%E -2.81%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.60%E -2.49%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-01 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.16%E -2.81%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.60%E -2.49%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-01 17:55
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.16%E -2.81%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.60%E -2.49%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-01 17:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.46%E -3.74%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.60%E -2.49%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-01 17:25
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.75%E -4.69%K -15.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.60%E -2.49%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-01 18:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -7.40%E -5.18%K -17.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -6.60%E -2.49%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-01 18:00
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -2.22%E -1.47%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -6.95%E -2.63%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-01 17:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -0.279%E -0.181%K -0.516%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -7.30%E -2.78%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-29 14:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -0.279%E -0.181%K -0.516%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -7.30%E -2.78%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-29 14:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -0.279%E -0.181%K -0.516%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -7.30%E -2.78%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-29 14:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -0.279%E -0.181%K -0.516%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -7.30%E -2.78%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-29 14:40
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -6.11%E -4.21%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -7.66%E -2.92%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 17:29
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -6.11%E -4.21%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -7.66%E -2.92%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 17:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -0.926%E -0.605%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -8.36%E -3.22%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-29 14:40
Unibet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -1.57%E -1.04%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -8.36%E -3.22%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-29 14:40
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.22%E -1.47%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -8.36%E -3.22%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-29 14:40
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.22%E -1.47%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -8.36%E -3.22%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-29 14:40
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.22%E -1.47%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -8.36%E -3.22%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-29 14:40
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.87%E -1.91%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.36%E -3.22%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-01 17:05
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.87%E -1.91%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.36%E -3.22%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-01 17:04
picklebet_au🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -4.81%E -3.27%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -8.36%E -3.22%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 17:59
LeoVegas🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.11%E -4.21%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.36%E -3.22%K -5.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 18:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -7.40%E -5.18%K -17.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -8.36%E -3.22%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-01 17:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -7.40%E -5.18%K -17.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%EV -11.89%E -4.75%K -7.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-01 18:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 63.14%EV -11.93%E -8.78%K -33.15%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 36.86%EV -17.88%E -7.67%K -13.44%G +0.000%16.4%2026-10-29 14:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%0.3%2026-11-01 18:00
ProphetX◎1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%0.3%2026-11-01 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%0.3%2026-11-01 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%0.3%2026-11-01 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%0.3%2026-11-01 18:00
Matchbook◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-11-01 18:00
Kalshi◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-11-01 17:25
Polymarket◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-11-01 17:05
Smarkets◎1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72%2.1%2026-11-01 18:00
BetOpenly◎1.51I 66.23%NM 64.64%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.36%2.5%2026-11-01 17:35