Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pittsburgh Steelers v Cleveland Browns

2026-11-01 18:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

69%

31%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pittsburgh Steelers (Local)

Prediction 68.79%1.45fair odd

EV -3.69%

Edge -2.64%

Kelly -9.23%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

68.54%68.79%68.79%69.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.391.401.401.4071.94%71.68%71.68%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cleveland Browns (Visit)

Prediction 31.21%3.20fair odd

EV -3.25%

Edge -1.05%

Kelly -1.55%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

30.96%31.21%31.21%31.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.053.083.083.1032.79%32.52%32.52%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Pittsburgh Steelers (Local): 68.79%; Cleveland Browns (Visit): 31.21%. For Cleveland Browns (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.20. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.10, with an expected value of -3.25%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Caesars🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.69%E -2.64%K -9.23%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.81%E -1.58%K -2.35%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-06-22 22:48
DraftKings🎯	1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.38%E -3.15%K -11.23%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -3.25%E -1.05%K -1.55%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-08-13 16:24

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.