The School of Odds

Pittsburgh Steelers v Cleveland Browns

2026-11-01 18:00 UTC — NFL

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Pittsburgh Steelers (Local)

Prediction 69.75%1.43fair odd
EV -2.35%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -5.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.54%69.75%69.75%70.97%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.351.381.381.4074%73%73%71%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Cleveland Browns (Visit)

Prediction 30.25%3.31fair odd
EV -0.187%
Edge -0.057%
Kelly -0.081%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.03%30.25%30.25%31.46%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.053.173.173.3033%31%31%30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -2.35%E -1.68%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -7.75%E -2.54%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-22 22:48
DraftKings1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.83%E -4.32%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -0.187%E -0.057%K -0.081%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 09:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.