Language:English
Pittsburgh Steelers v Cincinnati Bengals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pittsburgh Steelers (Local)
Prediction 39.28%2.55fair odd
EV +0.151%
Edge +0.059%
Kelly +0.098%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.96%39.38%39.12%43.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.192.442.452.5545.66%40.99%40.82%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cincinnati Bengals (Visit)
Prediction 60.72%1.65fair odd
EV +0.803%
Edge +0.484%
Kelly +1.22%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 1.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.88%60.62%60.88%62.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.571.561.6672.46%63.81%64.10%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pittsburgh Steelers (Local): 39.28%; Cincinnati Bengals (Visit): 60.72%. For Cincinnati Bengals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.65. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.66, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.803%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -13.99%E -6.39%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV +0.803%E +0.484%K +1.22%G +0.010% | 5.9% | 2026-09-27 16:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -4.56%E -1.88%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -1.02%E -0.625%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-27 16:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -4.95%E -2.05%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -1.63%E -1.00%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-27 17:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -4.95%E -2.05%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -1.63%E -1.00%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-27 17:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -7.70%E -3.28%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -1.63%E -1.00%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-27 16:45 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -7.70%E -3.28%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -1.63%E -1.00%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-27 17:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.23%E -1.39%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-27 17:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -6.92%E -2.92%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -2.23%E -1.39%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-27 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -6.92%E -2.92%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -2.23%E -1.39%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-27 16:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -2.99%E -1.21%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -2.84%E -1.78%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-27 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.70%E -3.28%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.84%E -1.78%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-27 16:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.70%E -3.28%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.84%E -1.78%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-27 16:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.81%E -0.725%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.45%E -2.17%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-27 13:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.81%E -0.725%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.45%E -2.17%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-27 12:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.78%E -1.54%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.45%E -2.17%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-27 16:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.78%E -1.54%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.45%E -2.17%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-27 16:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -4.17%E -1.71%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -3.45%E -2.17%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-27 16:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.45%E -2.17%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-27 16:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.45%E -2.17%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-27 16:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%EV -3.38%E -1.38%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -4.05%E -2.57%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-27 16:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.70%E -3.28%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.05%E -2.57%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-27 17:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.81%E -0.725%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-27 15:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.81%E -0.725%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-27 14:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -2.60%E -1.05%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-27 16:32 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -3.38%E -1.38%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-27 16:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.78%E -1.54%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-27 16:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-27 16:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-27 16:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.70%E -3.28%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-27 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +0.151%E +0.059%K +0.098%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -5.27%E -3.38%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-27 04:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +0.151%E +0.059%K +0.098%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -5.27%E -3.38%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-27 04:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +0.151%E +0.059%K +0.098%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -5.27%E -3.38%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-27 04:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +0.151%E +0.059%K +0.098%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -5.27%E -3.38%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-27 04:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +0.151%E +0.059%K +0.098%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -5.27%E -3.38%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-27 14:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.81%E -0.725%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.27%E -3.38%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-27 15:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.78%E -1.54%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.27%E -3.38%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-27 16:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.17%E -1.71%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.27%E -3.38%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-27 17:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.17%E -1.71%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.27%E -3.38%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-27 17:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -6.53%E -2.74%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.27%E -3.38%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-27 16:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.81%E -0.725%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.88%E -3.79%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-27 04:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.81%E -0.725%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.88%E -3.79%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-27 15:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.81%E -0.725%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.88%E -3.79%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-27 15:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.78%E -1.54%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.88%E -3.79%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-27 15:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.78%E -1.54%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.88%E -3.79%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-27 17:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.78%E -1.54%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.88%E -3.79%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-27 15:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.88%E -3.79%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-25 14:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.81%E -0.725%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.48%E -4.21%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-27 04:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.81%E -0.725%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.48%E -4.21%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-27 04:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.81%E -0.725%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.48%E -4.21%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-27 04:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.81%E -0.725%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.48%E -4.21%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-27 04:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.78%E -1.54%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.48%E -4.21%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-27 15:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.81%E -0.725%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.09%E -4.63%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-27 03:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.81%E -0.725%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.09%E -4.63%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-27 03:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.81%E -0.725%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.09%E -4.63%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-27 04:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.81%E -0.725%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.09%E -4.63%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-27 04:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.09%E -4.63%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-27 17:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -9.67%E -4.20%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -7.70%E -5.06%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-27 16:33 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.70%E -3.28%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.88%EV -8.31%E -5.50%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-27 16:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.02%EV -11.63%E -5.17%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 61.98%EV -16.20%E -11.74%K -42.63%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-09-27 04:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43% | 0.3% | 2026-09-27 17:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.53I 39.53%NM 39.33% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.67% | 0.5% | 2026-09-27 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-09-27 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-09-27 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-09-27 16:45 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-09-27 14:34 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-09-27 16:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72% | 1.0% | 2026-09-27 17:00 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11% | 1.9% | 2026-09-27 16:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49% | 2.1% | 2026-09-27 17:00 |