The School of Odds

Philadelphia Eagles v Pittsburgh Steelers

2026-11-22 21:25 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Philadelphia Eagles (Local)

Prediction 69.91%1.43fair odd
EV -2.13%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -5.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.54%69.91%69.91%71.27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.331.361.361.4075%73%73%71%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Pittsburgh Steelers (Visit)

Prediction 30.09%3.32fair odd
EV -0.692%
Edge -0.210%
Kelly -0.301%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.73%30.09%30.09%31.46%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.053.173.173.3033%31%31%30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -2.13%E -1.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.22%E -2.69%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-20 13:07
Caesars1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.02%E -5.28%K -21.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.692%E -0.210%K -0.301%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-26 09:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.