The School of Odds
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Philadelphia Eagles v New York Giants

2026-11-08 18:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Philadelphia Eagles (Local)

Prediction 68.00%1.47fair odd
EV -3.44%
Edge -2.42%
Kelly -8.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.51%68.00%68.00%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.401.401.4272.46%71.43%71.43%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Giants (Visit)

Prediction 32.00%3.12fair odd
EV -4.00%
Edge -1.33%
Kelly -2.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.51%32.00%32.00%32.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.952.982.983.0033.90%33.61%33.61%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Philadelphia Eagles (Local): 68.00%; New York Giants (Visit): 32.00%. For Philadelphia Eagles (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.47. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.42, with an expected value of -3.44%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.44%E -2.42%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -5.60%E -1.90%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 21:00
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.16%E -4.46%K -16.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.00%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 22:37
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.