The School of Odds
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Philadelphia Eagles v Los Angeles Rams

2026-10-04 17:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Philadelphia Eagles (Local)

Prediction 44.04%2.27fair odd
EV +1.29%
Edge +0.562%
Kelly +0.994%
Growth +0.013%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.33%44.04%44.04%46.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.172.152.3048.78%46.15%46.51%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Rams (Visit)

Prediction 55.96%1.79fair odd
EV +0.728%
Edge +0.405%
Kelly +0.910%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.25%55.96%55.96%58.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.711.701.8061.73%58.59%58.82%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Philadelphia Eagles (Local): 44.04%; Los Angeles Rams (Visit): 55.96%. For Philadelphia Eagles (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.27. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.30, producing a positive expected value of +1.29%.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +1.29%E +0.562%K +0.994%G +0.013%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -9.34%E -5.77%K -15.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-01 17:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.87%E -2.86%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 17:24
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV +0.728%E +0.405%K +0.910%G +0.007%4.3%2026-07-21 09:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Arbitrage (1 combination) +0.98%Caesars 2.30 (43.9%) / DraftKings 1.80 (56.1%)Show details
Philadelphia Eagles (Local)Los Angeles Rams (Visit)Margin
Caesars🎯 2.30 (43.9%)DraftKings🎯 1.80 (56.1%)+0.976%