The School of Odds

Philadelphia Eagles v Los Angeles Rams

2026-10-04 17:00 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Philadelphia Eagles (Local)

Prediction 44.04%2.27fair odd
EV +1.29%
Edge +0.562%
Kelly +0.994%
Growth +0.013%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.33%44.04%44.04%46.75%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.052.172.172.3049%46%46%43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Los Angeles Rams (Visit)

Prediction 55.96%1.79fair odd
EV +0.728%
Edge +0.405%
Kelly +0.910%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.25%55.96%55.96%58.67%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.621.711.711.8062%58%58%56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +1.29%E +0.562%K +0.994%G +0.013%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -9.34%E -5.77%K -15.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-01 17:50
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV +0.728%E +0.405%K +0.910%G +0.007%4.3%2026-07-21 09:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Arbitrage (1 combination) +0.98%Caesars 2.30 (43.9%) / DraftKings 1.80 (56.1%)Show details
Philadelphia Eagles (Local)Los Angeles Rams (Visit)Margin
Caesars 2.30 (43.9%)DraftKings 1.80 (56.1%)+0.976%