The School of Odds

Philadelphia Eagles v Indianapolis Colts

2026-12-13 18:00 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Philadelphia Eagles (Local)

Prediction 68.10%1.47fair odd
EV -3.97%
Edge -2.82%
Kelly -9.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.03%68.10%68.10%68.18%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.401.401.401.4171%71%71%71%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Indianapolis Colts (Visit)

Prediction 31.90%3.14fair odd
EV -4.31%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -2.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.82%31.90%31.90%31.97%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.003.003.003.0033%33%33%33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.97%E -2.82%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-22 22:39
Caesars1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.65%E -3.32%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 22:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.