The School of Odds

Philadelphia Eagles v Carolina Panthers

2026-10-18 17:00 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Philadelphia Eagles (Local)

Prediction 72.13%1.39fair odd
EV -1.90%
Edge -1.39%
Kelly -5.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.50%72.13%72.13%73.77%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.281.321.321.3678%76%76%74%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Carolina Panthers (Visit)

Prediction 27.87%3.59fair odd
EV +0.315%
Edge +0.088%
Kelly +0.121%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.23%27.87%27.87%29.50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.253.423.423.6031%29%29%28%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -7.67%E -5.99%K -27.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV +0.315%E +0.088%K +0.121%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 22:38
DraftKings1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -1.90%E -1.39%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -9.44%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 14:21
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.