Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Philadelphia Eagles v Carolina Panthers

2026-10-18 17:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

72%

28%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Philadelphia Eagles (Local)

Prediction 72.13%1.39fair odd

EV -1.90%

Edge -1.39%

Kelly -5.27%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

70.50%72.13%72.13%73.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.281.321.321.3678.13%75.76%75.76%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Carolina Panthers (Visit)

Prediction 27.87%3.59fair odd

EV +0.315%

Edge +0.088%

Kelly +0.121%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

26.23%27.87%27.87%29.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.253.423.423.6030.77%29.20%29.20%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Philadelphia Eagles (Local): 72.13%; Carolina Panthers (Visit): 27.87%. For Carolina Panthers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.59. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.60, producing a positive expected value of +0.315%.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Caesars🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -7.67%E -5.99%K -27.38%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV +0.315%E +0.088%K +0.121%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-15 22:38
DraftKings🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -1.90%E -1.39%K -5.27%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -9.44%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-13 17:04

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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