The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Philadelphia Eagles v Carolina Panthers

Kickoff: 2026-10-18 17:02 UTC

Final: Philadelphia Eagles 14–25 Carolina Panthers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Philadelphia Eagles (Local)

Prediction 41.63%2.40fair odd
EV +0.744%
Edge +0.307%
Kelly +0.524%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 2.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.75%41.79%41.67%46.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.032.302.302.4249.26%43.47%43.48%41.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Carolina Panthers (Visit)

Prediction 58.37%1.71fair odd
EV +3.32%
Edge +1.87%
Kelly +4.31%
Growth +0.143%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.42%58.21%58.33%60.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.631.631.7769.93%61.41%61.35%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Eagles (Local): 41.63%; Carolina Panthers (Visit): 58.37%. For Carolina Panthers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.71. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.77, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.32%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Marathon Bet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.58%EV -15.49%E -7.63%K -15.04%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.42%EV +3.32%E +1.87%K +4.31%G +0.143%5.8%2026-10-18 16:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -6.33%E -2.81%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -1.35%E -0.801%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-18 16:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -5.92%E -2.62%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -1.94%E -1.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-18 16:59
Dabble (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.33%E -2.81%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -1.94%E -1.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-18 16:59
DraftKings🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -6.75%E -3.01%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -1.94%E -1.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-18 16:58
GTbets🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.25%E -1.85%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.52%E -1.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-18 16:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.25%E -1.85%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.52%E -1.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-18 16:40
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.25%E -1.85%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.52%E -1.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-18 16:58
BetAnything🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.25%E -1.85%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.52%E -1.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-18 16:59
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.25%E -1.85%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.52%E -1.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-18 16:59
BetUS🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -4.67%E -2.04%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -2.52%E -1.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-18 16:59
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.33%E -2.81%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.52%E -1.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-18 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.41%E -3.82%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.52%E -1.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 16:59
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.41%E -3.82%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.52%E -1.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 16:59
ReBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -3.00%E -1.29%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -3.11%E -1.87%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-18 16:59
Coolbet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV +0.744%E +0.307%K +0.524%G +0.004%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -3.69%E -2.24%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.9%2026-10-18 16:54
Pinnacle🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -0.089%E -0.037%K -0.063%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -3.69%E -2.24%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.3%2026-10-18 16:35
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.17%E -0.923%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.69%E -2.24%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-18 16:35
Everygame🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.17%E -0.923%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.69%E -2.24%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-18 16:47
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.25%E -1.85%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.69%E -2.24%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-18 16:59
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.25%E -1.85%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.69%E -2.24%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-18 16:59
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.25%E -1.85%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.69%E -2.24%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-18 16:59
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.33%E -2.81%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.69%E -2.24%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 16:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.33%E -2.81%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.69%E -2.24%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 16:59
Bet Right🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -6.75%E -3.01%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.69%E -2.24%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-18 16:40
Caesars🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.42%E -1.47%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.27%E -2.61%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-18 16:59
FanDuel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.42%E -1.47%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.27%E -2.61%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-18 16:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.25%E -1.85%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.27%E -2.61%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-18 16:58
MyBookie.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -2.59%E -1.11%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.86%E -2.98%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-18 16:55
SportsBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.67%E -2.04%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.86%E -2.98%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -0.089%E -0.037%K -0.063%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -5.44%E -3.36%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-18 07:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -0.089%E -0.037%K -0.063%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -5.44%E -3.36%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-18 07:34
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -0.089%E -0.037%K -0.063%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -5.44%E -3.36%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-18 07:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -0.089%E -0.037%K -0.063%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -5.44%E -3.36%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-18 07:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.25%E -1.85%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.44%E -3.36%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-18 16:39
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.25%E -1.85%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.44%E -3.36%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-18 16:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.33%E -2.81%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.44%E -3.36%K -8.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-18 16:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -0.089%E -0.037%K -0.063%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -6.02%E -3.74%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-18 16:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -0.921%E -0.387%K -0.667%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -6.02%E -3.74%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-18 07:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.08%E -2.23%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -6.02%E -3.74%K -9.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-18 16:55
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.33%E -2.81%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.02%E -3.74%K -9.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-18 16:53
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.33%E -2.81%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.02%E -3.74%K -9.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-18 16:53
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.17%E -0.923%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.61%E -4.13%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 07:34
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.17%E -0.923%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.61%E -4.13%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 07:30
Bally Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.17%E -0.923%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.61%E -4.13%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 07:30
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.17%E -0.923%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.61%E -4.13%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 07:34
TAB🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.17%E -0.923%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.61%E -4.13%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 15:10
picklebet_au🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.41%E -3.82%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.61%E -4.13%K -11.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-18 16:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -8.41%E -3.82%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -7.78%E -4.92%K -13.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-18 16:54
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.921%E -0.387%K -0.667%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.36%E -5.32%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-18 12:25
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.921%E -0.387%K -0.667%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.36%E -5.32%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-18 12:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.921%E -0.387%K -0.667%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.36%E -5.32%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-18 12:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.921%E -0.387%K -0.667%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.36%E -5.32%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-18 12:24
Fliff🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.17%E -0.923%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.36%E -5.32%K -14.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-18 16:59
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.33%E -2.81%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.36%E -5.32%K -14.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-18 16:54
NetBet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -8.41%E -3.82%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.98%EV -10.69%E -6.99%K -20.18%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-18 16:54
PMU (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 40.28%EV -11.74%E -5.54%K -10.49%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 59.72%EV -16.53%E -11.56%K -38.44%G +0.000%17.1%2026-10-18 07:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%0.2%2026-10-18 16:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%0.5%2026-10-18 17:00
Novig◎2.35I 42.55%NM 42.26%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74%0.7%2026-10-18 16:59
ProphetX◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%0.8%2026-10-18 16:59
Smarkets◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-10-18 14:44
Polymarket◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-10-18 16:39
Kalshi◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-10-18 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27%1.5%2026-10-18 16:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27%1.5%2026-10-18 16:59
BetOpenly◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%1.9%2026-10-18 16:59