The School of Odds

New York Jets v New England Patriots

2026-12-27 18:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

New York Jets (Local)

Prediction 30.04%3.33fair odd
EV -2.36%
Edge -0.726%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.50%30.04%30.13%30.49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.103.163.133.2532%32%32%31%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

New England Patriots (Visit)

Prediction 69.96%1.43fair odd
EV -4.86%
Edge -3.57%
Kelly -13.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.51%69.96%69.87%70.50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.351.361.361.3674%74%74%74%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.36%E -0.726%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.86%E -3.57%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-20 13:07
Coolbet3.13I 31.95%NM 30.13%EV -5.97%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.87%EV -5.56%E -4.12%K -15.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-20 13:10
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.87%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.86%E -3.57%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-20 13:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.